Friday, 30 November 2012

ADVFN III Euro Morning Markets Bulletin -November 30th, 2012-.



ADVFN III Morning Euro Markets Bulletin
Daily world financial news



London Market
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Stocks unchanged on 'fiscal cliff' developments

Market Movers
techMARK 2,106.72 -0.01%
FTSE 100 5,869.91 -0.01%
FTSE 250 12,059.65 +0.28%
The FTSE 100 opened flat on Friday morning as investors showed caution following some mixed comments from US politicians regarding the 'fiscal cliff'.

Markus Huber, head of German HNW trading at ETX Capital, said: "European equities are trading little changed this morning despite less encouraging news out of Washington where a deal put to the Republicans by the Democrats received a frosty reception and showed that the parties might actually be further apart than many had hoped." He said that this leaves"a big question mark if a deal will be reached soon."

In spite of saying on Wednesday that he was “optimistic" about a deal being made on the 'fiscal cliff', US Republican Speaker of the House John Boehner quashed hopes yesterday by saying that "there is a real danger of going off the fiscal cliff" unless Democrats "get serious about real spending cuts".

ETX Capital's Huber said: "The lack of a deal to avoid the fiscal cliff not only poses problems to US businesses but also traders and investors alike are finding it more difficult dealing with the ongoing wrangling as quick shifts in sentiment can lead to erratic short-term moves, which in turn is keeping more and more traders on the sidelines until the situation what the fiscal cliff is concerned is becoming clearer."
 
In domestic news, UK consumer confidence measured by GfK surged to an 18-month high in November, rising to -22 from -30 the month before. Consensus estimates were for no change.

There's plenty of other economic data for investors to digest today, including: Eurozone unemployment rate figures; Eurozone inflation; Canadian GDP and US personal consumption expenditure. Meanwhile, today will also see the German parliament vote on the latest Greek rescue package.
Kingfisher falls after broker downgrade
B&Q owner Kingfisher was a heavy faller this morning after UBS cut its rating on the stock to 'neutral' and reduced its target from 300p to 290p following yesterday's third-quarter results. The company reported that third-quarter revenue was up 0.8% at constant currency to £2.7bn.

In contrast, water supplier Pennon was higher after Citigroup upgraded the shares to 'neutral' and quality and safety testing group Intertek rose after Berenberg upped to stock to 'buy' and raised its target from 2,710p to 3,340p.

Mining giant Rio Tinto was on the rise after Jefferies recommended to buy the stock, saying that the group can deliver around 40% earnings per share growth from 2012 to 2015 "even if commodity prices do not increase from average 2012 levels as significant volume growth and cost cutting should lead to better unit margins and higher overall profitability for the company."

Sector peers ENRC, Polymetal, Kazakhmys and Vedanta were also in demand after industrial production figures from Japan beat forecasts overnight and the Japanese government approved a $10.7bn stimulus package.

Real estate investment group British Land gained after letting 24,392 square foot of office space at its new West End development at 10 Portman Square.

Coal and coke producer New World Resources jumped despite announcing that a 23-year-old worker died at its CSM Mine in the Czech Republic yesterday.
AIM/Small Cap Report
FTSE 100 - Risers
Intertek Group (ITRK) 3,116.00p +1.86%
Johnson Matthey (JMAT) 2,428.00p +1.68%
Polymetal International (POLY) 1,060.00p +1.15%
Kazakhmys (KAZ) 726.50p +1.04%
Whitbread (WTB) 2,400.00p +0.93%
Weir Group (WEIR) 1,896.00p +0.90%
Glencore International (GLEN) 345.20p +0.86%
Eurasian Natural Resources Corp. (ENRC) 277.00p +0.80%
Xstrata (XTA) 1,031.50p +0.78%
IMI (IMI) 1,048.00p +0.77%

FTSE 100 - Fallers
Royal Bank of Scotland Group (RBS) 294.10p -1.64%
Kingfisher (KGF) 275.20p -1.36%
British Sky Broadcasting Group (BSY) 764.50p -0.91%
BT Group (BT.A) 231.70p -0.77%
Hargreaves Lansdown (HL.) 745.00p -0.73%
GlaxoSmithKline (GSK) 1,342.00p -0.67%
Centrica (CNA) 326.00p -0.64%
SSE (SSE) 1,427.00p -0.63%
Old Mutual (OML) 170.10p -0.58%
Lloyds Banking Group (LLOY) 46.40p -0.53%

FTSE 250 - Risers
New World Resources A Shares (NWR) 273.50p +4.35%
Soco International (SIA) 367.40p +3.09%
Man Group (EMG) 78.50p +2.55%
Dixons Retail (DXNS) 26.35p +2.29%
Rank Group (RNK) 147.30p +2.29%
Taylor Wimpey (TW.) 60.60p +2.28%
Brown (N.) Group (BWNG) 365.80p +1.89%
Bellway (BWY) 1,005.00p +1.77%
Invensys (ISYS) 310.30p +1.74%
Domino Printing Sciences (DNO) 591.00p +1.72%

FTSE 250 - Fallers
Stobart Group Ltd. (STOB) 100.10p -2.91%
Perform Group (PER) 380.70p -2.18%
Kentz Corporation Ltd. (KENZ) 363.67p -1.69%
CSR (CSR) 358.80p -1.67%
Ruspetro (RPO) 84.65p -1.57%
Playtech Ltd. (PTEC) 416.80p -1.51%
Euromoney Institutional Investor (ERM) 753.50p -1.50%
Shanks Group (SKS) 79.70p -1.48%
Fidelity China Special Situations (FCSS) 75.75p -1.37%
Savills (SVS) 450.00p -1.19%
UK Event Calendar
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INTERIMS
Acal, Creightons

INTERIM DIVIDEND PAYMENT DATE
BAE Systems, Bloomsbury Publishing, Booker Group, Charles Taylor, DCC, Development Securities, Downing Planned Exit VCT 2 'C' Shares, Downing Planned Exit VCT 2 'D' Shares , Downing Planned Exit VCT 2 'F' Shares, Downing Planned Exit VCT 2011 (General Shares), Downing Planned Exit VCT 2011 (Low Carbon Shares), Downing Planned Exit VCT 2011 (Structured Shares), Downing Planned Exit VCT 3 'C' Shares, Downing Planned Exit VCT 3 'D' Shares , Downing Planned Exit VCT 3 F Shares, Hargreave Hale AIM VCT 2, Hilton Food Group, Howden Joinery Group, ITV, Laird, Lookers, Octopus AIM VCT, Old Mutual, Panther Securities, Provident Financial, Senior

QUARTERLY PAYMENT DATE
City of London Inv Trust, F&C Commercial Property Trust Ltd., Henderson International Income Trust, Picton Property Income Ltd

INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC ANNOUNCEMENTS
Chicago PMI (US) (13:45)
International Reserves (EU) (11:00)
Personal Consumption Expenditures (US) (13:30)
Personal Income (US) (13:30)
Personal Spending (US) (13:30)
Retail Sales (GER) (07:00)
Unemployment Rate (EU) (10:00)

Q3
Frontline Ltd.

GMS
Prime Focus London

FINALS
Cambria Africa

SPECIAL DIVIDEND PAYMENT DATE
IndigoVision Group, Ryanair Holdings

EGMS
Alpha Real Trust Ltd.

AGMS
Aquarius Platinum Ltd., Charteris, Ferrum Crescent Ltd NPV (DI), Forte Energy NL, Pan African Resources, Prime Focus London, Utilitywise

TRADING ANNOUNCEMENTS
SThree

FINAL DIVIDEND PAYMENT DATE
IndigoVision Group, JPMorgan Overseas Inv Trust, London Finance & Investment Group, Manchester & London Inv Trust, Swallowfield, Wolseley
US Market
Stocks close up despite Boehner comments

Dow 13,022 +37
Nasdaq 3,012 +20
S&P 500 1,416 +6
The main US equity benchmarks made decent gains on Thursday after some volatility throughout the session.  That volatility came after remarks from leading politicians took a noticeable turn for the worse late in the afternoon. This time, US Republican speaker of the House John Boehner said that Obama's actions have not matched his statements.

The White House retorted by saying that it would be "deeply irresponsible" if Congressional leaders asked for concessions in exchange for raising the debt limit.

This followed comments the previous day from Boehner who gave markets a boost after he said that he was “optimistic that we can continue to work together to avert this crisis sooner rather than later.” He said that Republicans were willing to put “revenue on the table” as long as it is accompanied by spending cuts.

Ed Yardeni, the Chief Investment Strategist at Yardeni Research, wrote in a research note that he is "still expecting a deal".

He continued: "On the tax side, 98% of Americans will get to keep their Bush tax cuts on a permanent basis. Both sides of the partisan divide agree that this should happen. That’s actually a very big deal and very good for the economy."

In addition to their positive reaction in the fact of Boehner's most recent comments, traders seemed to brush aside what at first glance looked to have been some rather weak economic data out before today's opening bell.

GDP Expands at a Rate of 2.7%
US gross domestic product expanded at a 2.7% pace in the third quarter (Consensus: 2.8%) according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis’s second estimate, following a reading of 2.0% for the previous three months.

However, estimates of personal consumption expenditures were revised down as were those for Americans’ after-tax income. The latter is now thought to have increased at a 0.5% annual rate once adjusted for inflation, compared with a previously estimated 0.8% pace. Stockpiles contributed 0.77 percentage points to growth, compared with a prior estimate that showed they subtracted 0.12 percentage points.

Initial weekly unemployment claims fell by 27,000 to 393,000 (Consensus: 390,000) in the seven day up until last Saturday.  Pending home sales data rose by grew by 5.2% month-on-month in October (Consensus: 1.0%).

Company news
Research in Motion rose following an upgrade from Goldman Sachs from neutral to buy.  Data-centre technology company Infoblox made strong gains after it beat expectations and improved its outlook.  Book retailer Barnes & Noble took a hit after revealing a less-than-impressive performance by its brick-and-mortar business.

Supermarket chain operator Kroger released better than expected quarterly earnings and sales.

Walt Disney unveiled a 25% increase in its quarterly dividend.  Fashion retailer TJX Cos. announced a 3% rise in its same store sales for this past month of November.  Retailer Target published a 1% fall for its same store sales in November, well below what the company itself had expected.

Other Markets
10-year US Treasuries yield was at the 1.61% mark.  Front month West Texas crude futures rose by 1.83% to the $88.07 level on NYMEX.
S&P 500 - Risers
Kroger Co. (KR) $26.26 +4.79%
Advanced Micro Devices Inc. (AMD) $2.04 +4.08%
Marriott International Inc. (MAR) $36.63 +4.03%
Goodyear Tire & Rubber Co. (GT) $12.34 +3.70%
Vulcan Materials Co. (VMC) $51.29 +3.22%
Unitedhealth Group Inc. (UNH) $54.37 +3.07%
Fastenal Co. (FAST) $42.23 +2.95%
Citrix Systems Inc. (CTXS) $62.56 +2.81%
Beam Inc. Common Stock (BEAM) $55.61 +2.68%
Alpha Natural Res (ANR) $7.18 +2.57%

S&P 500 - Fallers
Kohls Corp. (KSS) $45.02 -11.98%
Tiffany & Co. (TIF) $59.79 -6.18%
Macy's Inc. (M) $38.61 -4.34%
Gap Inc. (GPS) $34.35 -4.10%
Sears Holdings Corp. (SHLD) $43.05 -3.21%
Best Buy Co. Inc. (BBY) $12.95 -3.00%
Intel Corp. (INTC) $19.52 -2.84%
Range Resources Corp. (RRC) $65.66 -2.62%
AutoNation Inc. (AN) $38.89 -2.53%
Metropcs Communications Inc. (PCS) $10.14 -2.41%

Dow Jones I.A - Risers
Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) $86.26 +1.55%
Hewlett-Packard Co. (HPQ) $12.90 +1.34%
Coca-Cola Co. (KO) $37.97 +1.09%
Verizon Communications Inc. (VZ) $44.03 +1.08%
Walt Disney Co. (DIS) $49.70 +1.02%
Cisco Systems Inc. (CSCO) $19.02 +1.01%
AT&T Inc. (T) $33.95 +0.98%
JP Morgan Chase & Co. (JPM) $41.22 +0.96%
Pfizer Inc. (PFE) $24.86 +0.77%
American Express Co. (AXP) $55.93 +0.76%

Dow Jones I.A - Fallers
Intel Corp. (INTC) $19.52 -2.84%
Microsoft Corp. (MSFT) $26.94 -1.54%
Home Depot Inc. (HD) $64.23 -0.93%
3M Co. (MMM) $90.65 -0.31%
International Business Machines Corp. (IBM) $191.54 -0.23%
Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) $69.23 -0.09%
United Technologies Corp. (UTX) $79.76 -0.05%
McDonald's Corp. (MCD) $86.48 -0.05%
Friday newspaper round-up
Direct Line, British banks, The Independent takeover...
Direct Line has announced another 236 jobs cuts as the newly-floated insurance giant moves towards slicing costs by 100 million pounds by the end of 2014. The fresh round of streamlining comes on top of previously-announced plans to shed 970 jobs across the group’s UK operations, which employed about 15,000 prior to the cost-saving drive. However, spokeswoman Jennifer Thomas said this latest phase would have a “very minimal impact” in Glasgow, where Direct Line has nearly 1,000 people working mainly in call centre activities. [The Scotsman]

British banks will have to raise £20bn-£50bn of new capital or dramatically restructure their businesses after the Bank of England made it clear it did not trust the way they value their books. The BoE’s new Financial Policy Committee yesterday said banks must report capital ratios which reflect a “proper valuation” of their assets and a “realistic assessment” of the cost of recent scandals, such as the manipulation of Libor and mis-selling of insurance products. [Financial Times]

Millionaire businessman David Rowland is in the running to take over The Independent and The Independent on Sunday, it has emerged. The Tory party donor is understood to have held talks with current owners, the Lebedev family, about a £10m to £15m deal for the loss-making newspapers. Any deal could separate the titles from their sister publication, The Evening Standard. News of the bid follows increasing speculation about the future of the struggling titles and comes a day after Alexander Lebedev admitted he was looking for investment to support the papers. [The Telegraph]

Not content with dominating the e-book market, Amazon is planning to muscle in on the physical book publishing industry in Europe by releasing original works under its own imprint. The online retailer is to launch a European publishing wing which will pitch it against the might of Bloomsbury, Random House and HarperCollins, owned by News Corporation, parent company of The Times. In a letter to literary agents, Amazon said that the new division was part of its European expansion and would be based in Luxembourg. It will include a team of editors and marketers. [The TImes]

The EU's general court has blocked an attempt to force the European Central Bank to release files showing how Greece used derivatives to hide its debt in the run-up to the financial crisis. The case was brought by Bloomberg News under the EU's freedom of information rules in August 2010 but was thrown out on Thursday by the court in Luxembourg. "Disclosure of those documents would have undermined the protection of the public interest so far as concerns the economic policy of the EU and Greece," the EU's general court said. [The Guardian]

Coventry Building Society has become the latest High Street lender to pull the plug on borrowers who want to take out an interest-only mortgage. It announced today that it will no longer offer these once popular loans to new borrowers. It follows hot on the heels of Royal Bank of Scotland, NatWest, Nationwide and Co-operative Bank, which have already pulled out of interest-only lending. Other lenders have tightened the screw on borrowers by making it much more difficult to take out these loans. Woolwich, the mortgage arm of Barclays, now offer loans on this basis only if the amount is £300,000 or more, and Santander will only lend up to 50 per cent of the property’s value. [The TImes]

Accounting giant Ernst & Young is to be sued over the collapse of Anglo Irish Bank in 2009. In what is the first time an Irish bank has taken legal action against its ex-auditor, the firm is being taken to court by the state-owned Irish Bank Resolution Corporation (IBRC), which took over the running of the collapsed Anglo three years ago. While full details of the case have not been revealed, it is believed the accountant will be accused of failing to spot Anglo's massive exposure to the Irish property bubble, which led to it being nationalised. [The Independent]

Hong Kong Exchanges & Clearing raised $1bn from equity markets on Thursday, after receiving clearance from the UK’s Financial Services Authority for its $2.2bn acquisition of the London Metal Exchange. The blessing of the UK regulator for the deal clears the way for the closure of the transaction after a court hearing to confirm capital reduction plans on December 5, after which the deal will become unconditional. [Financial Times]

The United Nations has laid the finger of blame for food price rises on trading in agricultural commodities, but says it is the trade in futures contracts – an agreement to buy at a set price sometime in the future – rather than the actual food stocks that causes the most damage. David Bicchetti, associate economic officer at UN conference on trade and development (UNCTAD), said "enormous, humongous" amounts of money are traded on commodities that don't actually exist. "Over $400bn [of paper money] is traded – that's 20-30 times the physical production of the commodity." [The Guardian]

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