Thursday, 20 December 2012

ADVFN III Evening Euro Markets Bulletin (December 20th, 2012).



ADVFN III Evening Euro Markets Bulletin
Daily world financial news



London Market Report
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Stocks finish flat on US budget uncertainty

    Market Movers
    techMARK 2,131.98 +0.12%
    FTSE 100 5,958.34 -0.05%
    FTSE 250 12,422.77 +0.16%
The FTSE 100 index finished broadly flat on Thursday afternoon, taking a pause of two days of decent gains, with the focus remaining on the US 'fiscal cliff' ahead of the Christmas holiday.

Even a positive surprise in US gross domestic product (GDP) failed to give markets a boost. The American economy expanded at an adjusted annual rate of 3.1% in the third quarter, well ahead of the previously estimated 2.7% growth forecast.

"European markets have struggled to retest yesterday’s highs despite gaining momentum in the first few hours of trading," said sales trader Toby Morris from CMC Markets.

"Investors saw the early recovery from yesterday’s late sell off halted with traders unable to find any real distractions to the politics in the US to push markets to new levels," he said.

Stocks finished slightly higher on Wednesday after Standard & Poor's upgraded Greece's credit rating to 'B-minus' and the IFO German business climate index beat expectations. However, gains were pared by the close after the White House Communications Director Dan Pfeiffer said that President Barack Obama would veto any ‘plan B’ for the 'fiscal cliff' from House Speaker John Boehner.
FTSE 100: Carnival drops after full-year revenue decline
Carnival , the largest cruise company in the world, reported a fall in full-year revenues after what it called its most challenging year ever.

Shares dropped nearly 6% on Thursday afternoon after the company reported that revenue came in at $15.4bn, down from $15.8bn previously.

Among the risers was engineering solutions group Weir rose after announcing that it is to buy pressure control rental equipment firm Mathena for £148m. Investec this morning raised its target for the stock from 2,020p to 2,100p and reiterated its 'buy' rating, saying that the purchase "fits in nicely with Seaboard and diversifies Oil & Gas revenues away from the pressure pumping market".

Outsourcing giant Serco fell despite saying that it is on track to meet expectations for 2012 as it announced the sale of two operations at a loss. The firm said it expected to deliver a year of strong total revenue growth, including good organic growth.

Distribution and outsourcing firm Bunzl extended losses following yesterday's pre-close trading update. JP Morgan Cazenove and UBS both cut their target for the stock this morning.

Defence and aerospace group BAE Systems rebounded following yesterday's admission that it is struggling to agree on a price for the supply of 72 Typhoon aircraft with Saudi Arabia. The company said that if it cannot come to an agreement, it would reduce its full-year underlying earnings per share by around three pence per share.
FTSE 250 movers: Vesuvius gains after de-merger
Vesuvius, the de-merged Engineered Ceramics division of former FTSE 250 group Cookson, surged on Thursday, on day after its split from the chemicals division (now called Alent) became effective. In a research report yesterday, Investec said: "we believe that Vesuvius can break with the past and be managed prudently to generate robust cash flows, underpinning a good and progressive dividend."

Insurance outfit Lancashire Holdings fell after estimating the impact Hurricane Sandy on the business will be in the region of $40-60m. Sector peer Amlin was flat after puttting its losses from the US superstorm at £145m, most of which comes from reinsurance claims.

Construction firm Balfour Beatty gained after saying its half-owned Hong Kong builder, Gammon Construction, had won a contract worth £270m.

Transport group Go-Ahead was lower after saying that it has compensated London Midland customers with £7m of benefits after they were disrupted by cancellations and delays last year.
AIM/Small Cap Report
FTSE 100 - Risers
ITV (ITV) 107.00p +3.08%
InterContinental Hotels Group (IHG) 1,710.00p +3.07%
Weir Group (WEIR) 1,863.00p +2.81%
Aggreko (AGK) 1,742.00p +2.47%
CRH (CRH) 1,249.00p +2.04%
Aberdeen Asset Management (ADN) 365.20p +1.90%
BAE Systems (BA.) 348.00p +1.78%
Kingfisher (KGF) 283.30p +1.72%
Whitbread (WTB) 2,521.00p +1.57%
Tullow Oil (TLW) 1,246.00p +1.47%

FTSE 100 - Fallers
Carnival (CCL) 2,391.00p -6.05%
Evraz (EVR) 267.00p -4.09%
Randgold Resources Ltd. (RRS) 5,965.00p -2.29%
United Utilities Group (UU.) 674.00p -2.03%
Polymetal International (POLY) 1,159.00p -1.78%
Fresnillo (FRES) 1,878.00p -1.73%
BG Group (BG.) 1,008.50p -1.42%
Reckitt Benckiser Group (RB.) 3,909.00p -1.41%
International Consolidated Airlines Group SA (CDI) (IAG) 186.00p -1.33%
National Grid (NG.) 702.00p -1.27%

FTSE 250 - Risers
Vesuvius (VSVS) 352.00p +8.64%
Talvivaara Mining Company (TALV) 106.70p +5.33%
Perform Group (PER) 389.60p +5.30%
Genus (GNS) 1,431.00p +3.77%
Man Group (EMG) 86.50p +3.59%
Ocado Group (OCDO) 82.80p +3.56%
Stobart Group Ltd. (STOB) 101.50p +3.05%
Centamin (DI) (CEY) 42.71p +3.02%
ITE Group (ITE) 242.40p +2.54%
Petra Diramonds Ltd.(DI) (PDL) 109.70p +2.52%

FTSE 250 - Fallers
New World Resources A Shares (NWR) 294.90p -4.41%
Ferrexpo (FXPO) 249.50p -3.26%
Ruspetro (RPO) 76.55p -3.10%
Telecity Group (TCY) 775.50p -3.06%
Chemring Group (CHG) 234.60p -3.06%
Heritage Oil (HOIL) 182.60p -2.98%
Computacenter (CCC) 410.00p -2.94%
Rank Group (RNK) 144.10p -2.64%
Victrex (VCT) 1,606.00p -2.61%
Workspace Group (WKP) 306.00p -2.49%
Europe Market Report
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European Markets Finished Mixed On Fiscal Cliff Concerns

The European markets ended Thursday's trading session with mixed results. The stalemate in the U.S. fiscal cliff negotiations has investors concerned, as the end of the year draws ever closer. The strong upward revision in U.S. GDP for the third quarter initially sparked gains in Europe, which then quickly eroded.

The White House Wednesday threatened to veto a plan put forward by leading House Republicans aimed at delaying the onset of the 'fiscal cliff.' The plan, called 'Plan B,' was presented by House Speaker John Boehner.

According to a White House, Boehner's proposal would only raise roughly a third of the $1 trillion in tax increases from high-income households that had previously been proposed by the Speaker.

The White House Communications Director Dan Pfeiffer said President Barack Obama is still seeking "a significant, balanced deal that is good for American families, the economy and for our nation's future" and has put forward a proposal that offers to meet Boehner halfway on taxes and spending.

The European Commission on Thursday approved restructuring plans of four Spanish banks, allowing those banks to receive aid from the Eurozone bailout fund. The commission concluded that the restructuring plans of four Spanish banks, namely Liberbank, Caja3, Banco Mare Nostrum (BMN) and Banco CEISS, are in line with EU state aid rules.

The Italian Senate has approved Prime Minister Mario Monti's budget bill for 2013. Monti had previously announced that he will resign as Prime Minister once the budget receives final approval. His resignation will lead to a general election.

The Euro Stoxx 50 index of eurozone bluechip stocks increased by 0.21 percent, while the Stoxx Europe 50 index, which includes some major U.K. companies, declined by 0.05 percent.

The DAX of Germany climbed by 0.05 percent and the CAC 40 of France gained 0.50 percent. The FTSE 100 of the U.K. fell by 0.05 percent and the SMI of Switzerland decreased by 0.48 percent.

In Frankfurt, Volkswagen ended the session with a gain of 0.52 percent. JP Morgan initiated coverage on the stock with an "Overweight" rating.

Car parts manufacturer Rheinmetall dropped by 2.67 percent. Citigroup downgraded the stock to ''Sell'' from ''Neutral.''

In Paris, STMicroelectronics rose by 0.60 percent. Sweden's LM Ericsson Telephone, which has a 50 percent stake in ST-Ericsson, a joint venture with STMicroelectronics, said it would not acquire the majority of the joint venture and would explore various strategic options for the assets.

Peugeot climbed by 0.64 percent, after the announcement that it is expanding its alliance with General Motors.

In London, Weir Group advanced by 2.81 percent. The engineering solutions provider announced the acquisition of US-based Mathena, Inc., a provider of pressure control rental equipment and services for onshore oil and gas drilling applications.

Diageo climbed by 0.54 percent, after JPMorgan upgraded the stock to ''Neutral'' from ''Underweight.'' British American Tobacco rose by 0.48 percent, after Nomura increased its price target on the stock.

Consort Medical increased by 3.67 percent. The medical device maker is selling its King Systems unit to Denmark's Ambu for $170 million.

Germany's producer price inflation weakened to a four-month low in November as expected by economists, data released by statistical office Destatis showed Thursday.

The producer price inflation slowed to 1.4 percent in November from 1.5 percent in October, in line with economists' forecast. The November growth was the smallest since July, when prices moved up 0.9 percent.

U.K. retail sales remained unchanged in November as consumers remained cautious ahead of the Christmas shopping season, official data showed Thursday. The Office for National Statistics said retail sales including automotive fuel failed to expand after easing 0.7 percent in October. Sales were forecast to grow 0.4 percent.
US Market Report
Stocks Nearly Flat As Traders Keep Close Eye On Washington

Stocks continue to turn in a lackluster performance in mid-day trading on Thursday amid renewed uncertainty about the looming fiscal cliff. The focus on developments in Washington has overshadowed a batch of largely upbeat economic data.

Currently, the major averages are nearly flat on the day. While the S&P 500 has edged up 1.62 points or 0.1 percent to 1,437.43, the Dow is down 1.80 points or less than a tenth of a percent at 13,250.17 and the Nasdaq is down 1.64 points or 0.1 percent at 3,042.72.

The choppy trading on Wall Street comes as traders continue to keep a close eye on Washington, as uncertainty about the fiscal cliff has crept back into the markets following recent comments by President Barack Obama and House Speaker John Boehner.

Boehner has indicated that he will bring his "Plan B" legislation to the floor of the House for a vote despite a veto threat from the White House.

The "Plan B" legislation would extend the Bush-era tax cuts for people making up to $1 million, but Democrats claim it would raise taxes on millions of working families.

Boehner has argued that the president would be responsible for the largest tax increase in American history if he can't persuade Senate Democrats to approve the legislation.

As a result of the focus on the budget negotiations, traders have largely shrugged off the latest batch of U.S. economic data, including reports showing stronger than expected existing home sales growth and a rebound in Philadelphia-area manufacturing activity.

The National Association of Realtors said existing home sales rose 5.9 percent to an annual rate of 5.04 million in November from a downwardly revised 4.76 million in October. Economists had expected existing home sales to climb to 4.90 million.

With the bigger than expected increase, existing home sales rose to their highest level since spiking to 5.44 million in November of 2009.

Separately, the Philadelphia Federal Reserve said its diffusion index of current activity climbed to a positive 8.1 in December from a negative 10.7 in November, with a positive reading indicating an increase in regional manufacturing activity. Economists had expected the index to remain negative.

The Commerce Department also released a report showing a bigger than expected upward revision to the pace of GDP growth in the third quarter, while the Labor Department reported a modest rebound in weekly jobless claims.

Sector News

While most of the major sectors are showing only modest moves, gold stocks are seeing substantial weakness in mid-day trading. The NYSE Arca Gold Bugs Index has tumbled by 2.4 percent to its lowest intraday level in over four months.

The weakness among gold stocks comes amid a sharp drop by the price of the precious metal, with gold for February delivery plunging $29.70 to $1,638 an ounce.

Meanwhile, electronic storage stocks have moved to the upside over the course of the session, pushing the NYSE Arca Disk Drive Index up by 1 percent. Commercial real estate and banking stocks are also seeing some strength on the day.

Other Markets

In overseas trading, stock markets across the Asia-Pacific region turned in a mixed performance during trading on Thursday. While Japan's Nikkei 225 fell by 1.2 percent following recent strength, Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index inched up by 0.2 percent.

In the bond market, treasuries are pulling back near the unchanged line after moving higher earlier in the session. Subsequently, the yield on the benchmark ten-year note, which moves opposite of its price, is down by less than a basis point at 1.793 percent after hitting a low of 1.77 percent.
Broker tips
Vodafone, Serco, Weir
Nomura has kept its 'neutral' rating for telecoms group Vodafone, saying that the higher-than-expected costs from last week's Dutch spectrum auction raise more questions of the company's 'inflated' dividend.

"Paying an inflated ordinary dividend has been discredited as a way to reward shareholders, it restricts strategic flexibility and it leaves Vodafone dependent on Verizon Wireless cash flows which compromises its ability to negotiate with Verizon. A review of cash return policy is overdue, we believe."

Seymour Pierce has reiterated its 'buy' recommendation and 700p target for outsourcing giant Serco following the firm's pre-close trading statement on Thursday.

"We remain buyers of the shares on account of the company’s geographical and operational diversity which we believe puts the company in a strong position to deliver growth," said analyst Caroline de La Soujeole.

Investec has raised its target for engineering group Weir from 2,020p to 2,100p and reiterated its 'buy' rating for the stock, following Thursday's announcement that it is set to acquire pressure control provider Mathena.

"This acquisition fits in nicely with Seaboard and diversifies Oil & Gas revenues (31% of FY13E sales) away from the pressure pumping market," the broker said.

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