Friday, 7 December 2012

ADVFN III Morning Euro Markets Bulletin (december 7th, 2012).


ADVFN III Morning Euro Markets Bulletin
Daily world financial news



London Market Report
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Stocks flat after Germany trims growth forecasts

    Market Movers
    techMARK 2,115.02 -0.10%
    FTSE 100 5,897.74 -0.06%
    FTSE 250 12,157.09 +0.06%
The FTSE 100 opened broadly flat on Friday following two consecutive days of gains after Germany reduced its economic growth expectations for next year.

"Germany’s Bundesbank cutting the country’s 2013 GDP forecast […] has taken the shine off the earlier support provided by firm sessions in Asia and the US overnight," said market strategist Ishaq Siddiqi from ETX Capital. The Bundesbank now expects just 0.4% growth next year, down from its previous prediction in June for a 1.6% expansion.

"After Thursday’s strong German factory orders, these growth forecast downgrades refuel concerns about the prospects of Europe’s powerhouse," Siddiqi said.

Markets were also showing caution ahead of the crucial US employment report due out at 08:30 in New York (13:30 London time). Consensus estimates are for a 90,000 gain in non-farm payrolls in November, much worse than the 171,000 increase seen in October. Meanwhile, the unemployment rate is expected to remain at 7.9%.

However, many factors are expected to have thrown up headwinds over the last month, including: an early Thanksgiving which could have distorted hiring patterns for retailers; the looming 'fiscal cliff' which could hold back recruitment until the New Year; and by no means least, Hurricane Sandy.

As for this side of the Pond, UK industrial and manufacturing production figures are due out this morning.
Berkeley jumps after strong first half
House builder Berkeley Group jumped early on after seeing revenue and profit surge in the first half, as it declared an interim dividend of 15p per share, compared with nil the year before. Revenue increased 69.4% and pre-tax profit rose 40.7% in the six months to October 31st.

Panmure Gordon hiked its target price from 1,390p to 1,650p on the back of the results, but retained its 'hold' recommendation, saying that the valuation "looks up with events".

Sector peer Bellway edged higher after reporting a 6% rise in reservations to around 100 per week in the 18 weeks ended November 30th, as a result of an improvement to customers' ability to access higher loan-to-value mortgage finance.

Sweeteners and food products giant Tate & Lyle was in demand after agreeing to a £347m partial pensioner buy-in which covers nearly half of its total pensioner liabilities. The firm said that the trustee of the its group pension scheme has made the agreement with financial services giant Legal & General about the buy-in which covers around 43% of its commitments, "which effectively hedges these liabilities in full".

AIM-listed miner Orosur cheered investors with the news that in the three months ended November 30th production totalled 13,970 ounces meaning the company remains on track to achieve its forecast production target of 63,000 to 68,000 ounces for the full year.

Belgravium Technologies, which supplies mobile data computing solutions and managed services to a variety of industrial sectors, dropped after warning that delayed contract orders - which were expected to be received by now - have been further delayed; as a result the group's sales and profit levels for the year are likely to be below market expectation.

Instant service equipment group Photo Me rose as it revealed a 17.4% increase in first-half pre-tax profit despite a decline in revenue.
AIM/Small Cap Report
FTSE 100 - Risers
Evraz (EVR) 242.40p +1.21%
Tate & Lyle (TATE) 769.50p +1.12%
Diageo (DGE) 1,874.50p +1.11%
Centrica (CNA) 334.30p +0.81%
Shire Plc (SHP) 1,875.00p +0.59%
Capital Shopping Centres Group (CSCG) 350.50p +0.49%
British American Tobacco (BATS) 3,266.00p +0.43%
SABMiller (SAB) 2,807.50p +0.41%
Next (NXT) 3,727.00p +0.40%
Imperial Tobacco Group (IMT) 2,495.00p +0.40%

FTSE 100 - Fallers
Marks & Spencer Group (MKS) 390.30p -1.89%
Kazakhmys (KAZ) 735.00p -1.01%
Standard Chartered (STAN) 1,485.50p -1.00%
Capita (CPI) 749.50p -0.99%
Hammerson (HMSO) 474.60p -0.67%
HSBC Holdings (HSBA) 639.70p -0.64%
Tesco (TSCO) 337.45p -0.63%
BAE Systems (BA.) 335.70p -0.62%
Eurasian Natural Resources Corp. (ENRC) 281.60p -0.60%
Aggreko (AGK) 2,236.00p -0.58%

FTSE 250 - Risers
Berkeley Group Holdings (The) (BKG) 1,751.00p +6.12%
Ruspetro (RPO) 86.65p +4.40%
Talvivaara Mining Company (TALV) 96.25p +3.38%
Centamin (DI) (CEY) 51.40p +2.39%
Imagination Technologies Group (IMG) 435.50p +2.11%
Go-Ahead Group (GOG) 1,283.00p +1.99%
Bank of Georgia Holdings (BGEO) 1,030.00p +1.98%
Dunelm Group (DNLM) 638.83p +1.73%
Electrocomponents (ECM) 216.40p +1.55%
RPS Group (RPS) 208.70p +1.51%

FTSE 250 - Fallers
Savills (SVS) 465.00p -2.19%
Fidelity China Special Situations (FCSS) 78.25p -2.07%
Petropavlovsk (POG) 325.00p -1.96%
African Barrick Gold (ABG) 412.60p -1.53%
Synergy Health (SYR) 1,000.00p -1.48%
Electra Private Equity (ELTA) 1,870.00p -1.32%
Hochschild Mining (HOC) 460.60p -1.22%
F&C Asset Management (FCAM) 98.80p -1.20%
Ocado Group (OCDO) 73.25p -1.15%
Kenmare Resources (KMR) 31.47p -1.10%

UK Event Calendar
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INTERIMS
Berkeley Group Holdings (The), Photo-Me International, Polar Capital Holdings

INTERIM DIVIDEND PAYMENT DATE
Amati VCT , Balfour Beatty, BlackRock Smaller Companies Trust, Elderstreet VCT, London & Stamford Property , Marshalls, Maven Income & Growth VCT, Metric Property Investments , Pace, Rotala, SThree, Stobart Group Ltd., Walker Crips Group, William Hill

QUARTERLY PAYMENT DATE
Barclays

INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC ANNOUNCEMENTS
Consumer Credit (US) (20:00)
Unemployment Rate (US) (13:30)

ANNUAL REPORT
MedicX Fund Ltd.

SPECIAL DIVIDEND PAYMENT DATE
Narborough Plantations

AGMS
Air Partner, Associated British Foods, Bezant Resources, Frontier Mining Ltd (DI), LP Hill, Minco, Renewable Energy Generation Ltd.

UK ECONOMIC ANNOUNCEMENTS
Industrial Production (09:30)
Manufacturing Production (09:30)

FINAL DIVIDEND PAYMENT DATE
Ashmore Group, BlackRock Greater Europe Inv Trust, Centaur Media, Craneware, James Halstead, JPMorgan Smaller Companies Inv Trust, Matchtech Group

US Market Report
Stocks make decent gains

    Dow 13,074 +40
    Nasdaq 2,989 +15
    S&P 500 1,414 +5
US stocks closed higher on Thursday as investors attempt to withstand the threat of the looming so-called 'fiscal cliff' following upbeat remarks overnight from President Obama.

Attentions will now turn to Friday's jobs report, which is expected to show a 90,000 gain in non-farm payrolls in November, significantly lower than the 171,000 seen the previous month. Meanwhile, the unemployment rate is forecast to remain at 7.9%, according to the consensus.

However, Barclays Research specifically gave its prediction as follows: "For [Friday’s] November employment report, we look for a 50k increase in headline payrolls, a 55k increase in private payrolls, and a one-tenth rise in the unemployment rate to 8.0%.

Company News
Apple was a strong riser on Thursday, rebounding after a poor performance earlier in the week after the technology company's Chief Executive, Tim Cook, said Apple will begin to $100m invest in US manufacturing of Macs next year.

Other tech stocks followed Apple's lead (although shares lost their strenth towards to the close), resulting in a strong performance from the sector as a whole.

Shares in Yelp dropped on the back of reports which claimed a judge has ordered one of the site's reviewers to remove some of her content.

Putting in a welcome strong performance was Netflix, which streams movies and TV programmes, after coming to an exclusive agreement with Walk Disney to deliver features films from the fairytale company.

Coffee chain Starbucks was also making gains, boosted by the news it is to open another 1,500 stores across America and revealed that turnover at its Channel Development business is set to reach $1.3bn in the 2012 financial year.

Lockheed Martin is reportedly close to winning Pentagon backing to build all 29 F-35 fighters planned for the coming fiscal year after three years of cutbacks in orders for the nation’s costliest weapon, US officials told Bloomberg. The US Defence Department is apparently interested in providing some stability to the companies charged with building it.

Sirius XM announced a two billion share repurchase programme.

Other Markets
The ICE dollar index, which measures the greenback against a basket of six other major currencies, climbed from 79.774 to 80.250 over the 24-hour period.

The euro declined to $1.2968 on Thursday evening, compared to $1.3078 the previous evening, when it reached levels close to those seen in October.

Crude futures dropped 1.84% to $86.26 per barrel on the NYMEX.

S&P 500 - Risers
Akamai Technologies Inc. (AKAM) $39.06 +10.03%
Starbucks Corp. (SBUX) $53.70 +5.73%
Genworth Financial Inc. (GNW) $6.41 +5.43%
Juniper Networks Inc. (JNPR) $19.10 +3.97%
H&R Block Inc. (HRB) $18.26 +3.93%
Sandisk Corp. (SNDK) $41.32 +3.82%
Micron Technology Inc. (MU) $6.41 +3.72%
J.C. Penney Co. Inc. (JCP) $18.14 +3.48%
Noble Energy Inc. (NBL) $99.33 +3.43%
Seagate Technology Plc (STX) $28.53 +3.37%

S&P 500 - Fallers
Costco Wholesale Corp. (COST) $98.47 -7.06%
Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc. (FCX) $30.81 -4.20%
SAIC Inc. (SAI) $11.26 -3.51%
Masco Corp. (MAS) $15.78 -2.65%
Sears Holdings Corp. (SHLD) $40.25 -2.34%
Williams Companies Inc. (WMB) $31.56 -2.23%
Scripps Network Interactive Inc. (SNI) $56.50 -2.08%
CH Robinson Worldwide Inc (CHRW) $60.64 -2.05%
Perrigo Company (PRGO) $102.71 -2.00%
E*TRADE Financial Corp. (ETFC) $8.37 -1.99%

Dow Jones I.A - Risers
Intel Corp. (INTC) $20.16 +1.56%
Cisco Systems Inc. (CSCO) $19.48 +1.41%
McDonald's Corp. (MCD) $88.09 +1.29%
Chevron Corp. (CVX) $106.45 +1.22%
United Technologies Corp. (UTX) $80.87 +0.80%
Verizon Communications Inc. (VZ) $44.45 +0.79%
Procter & Gamble Co. (PG) $69.95 +0.78%
General Electric Co. (GE) $21.37 +0.66%
JP Morgan Chase & Co. (JPM) $41.47 +0.66%
E.I. du Pont de Nemours and Co. (DD) $42.87 +0.59%

Dow Jones I.A - Fallers
Travelers Company Inc. (TRV) $73.15 -1.15%
Walt Disney Co. (DIS) $49.06 -1.07%
AT&T Inc. (T) $33.65 -0.77%
American Express Co. (AXP) $56.12 -0.50%
Pfizer Inc. (PFE) $25.61 -0.12%
Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) $85.95 -0.12%
Wal-Mart Stores Inc. (WMT) $71.59 -0.08%
Bank of America Corp. (BAC) $10.45 -0.05%

Friday newspaper round-up
Starbucks, Barclays, Citigroup...
Starbucks has taken the 'unprecedented' step of pledging to pay 20m pounds corporation tax, even if it makes no profit – only for the move to appear to backfire and fuel the fiasco surrounding its UK operation. In a bid to end the pressure on the coffee chain, the US giant dramatically broke off talks with HM Revenue & Customs (HMRC) to offer to “pay or pre-pay somewhere in the range of £10m in each of the next two years”. Starbucks has paid just 8.5m pounds corporation tax in 14 years, despite UK sales of 3bn pounds – a tax rate of less than 1pc. [The Telegraph]

Britain’s former top financial watchdog is in talks about taking a senior role at Barclays, raising fresh questions about the revolving door between regulators and the big banks. Hector Sants is understood to be considering accepting a senior compliance and regulatory job at the bank he once believed was too aggressive. The former investment banker stepped down as chief executive of the Financial Services Authority in June, after guiding it through five years of turmoil in the wake of the banking crisis. One of the FSA’s last acts under his leadership was to impose a record £59.5 million fine against Barclays for rigging Libor, the key inter-bank interest rate. [The Times]

One of the banks being investigated over the Libor lending rate scandal was behind some of the unusual deals that triggered a separate inquiry into suspected attempts to manipulate the wholesale gas price. US investment bank Citigroup has confirmed that traders in its London office made two of a series of six gas deals that prompted inquiries by the Financial Services Authority and the energy watchdog, Ofgem. The sales were made around the "window" in which so-called price reporting agencies set the benchmark price for gas. In both deals, late in the afternoon of 28 September, Citigroup sold gas at 58.00p per therm – substantially below the price of other deals earlier in the day and later. [The Guardian]

Netflix has said securities regulators plan to take action against the company because of a Facebook post by chief executive Reed Hastings that allegedly violated public disclosure rules. "We remain optimistic this can be cleared up quickly through the SEC's review process," said Hastings, in the letter the company submitted alongside a regulatory filing announcing the receipt of a "Wells Notice" from US Securities and Exchange Commission staff. The notice informed Netflix that the SEC intends to bring a civil action against the company because of comments Hastings made on Facebook in July announcing that members of the online video streaming service were watching more than one billion hours of video a month. Hastings said on Thursday that he did not believe the Facebook posting was "material" information, Reuters reported. [The Telegraph]

Better Capital, the private equity firm run by veteran investor John Moulton, is in rescue talks to salvage the coal mining operations of ATH Resources. Doncaster-based ATH, which operates all four of its open cast pits in Scotland, fell into administration on Wednesday night, although its subsidiary, Aardvark TMC, continues to trade. But Better Capital yesterday revealed that it is in talks with all the company’s “stakeholders” – including customers, local councils and staff – to find a way to keep Aardvark trading. [The Scotsman]

Asian shares rose to an eight-month high, encouraged by a bigger-than-expected fall in weekly US jobless claims ahead of non-farm payrolls data later on Friday. The MSCI Asia Pacific index gained 0.1 per cent with Japan’s Nikkei 225 Stock Average up 0.2 per cent, South Korea’s Kospi Composite index 0.6 per cent higher and Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 index rising 0.8 per cent to a six-week high. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index and the Shanghai Composite index each added 0.3 per cent. Investors are awaiting the key monthly US jobs report for further clues on the US economic outlook. Non-farm payrolls in November are expected to have risen just 93,000, compared with October’s 171,000 job gain, due to the impact of superstorm Sandy on US economic activity. [Financial Times]

Fresh curbs on welfare spending for those hit hardest by George Osborne's autumn statement will be needed to spare Whitehall departments from the full impact of £27bn in savings needed in the next phase of the government's eight-year austerity programme, Britain's leading experts on the public finances have warned. The Institute for Fiscal Studies said that without further savings – either from benefits or tax increases – some areas of the public sector would be faced with "inconceivable cuts" in the next parliament. [The Guardian]

A US electronics company is creating 130 jobs after announcing plans for a second Scottish factory in a £9 million expansion. Plexus is moving its Livingston design centre to larger premises at Bathgate where it will also open a manufacturing facility to complement an existing one in Kelso. Work is expected to begin later this year and the site is expected to be operational by February. [The Scotsman]

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