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Stocks Seeing Modest Strength Amid Optimism About Fed
Extending a recent upward trend, stocks are
seeing modest strength in early trading on Wednesday. The major
averages are seeing further upside after ending the previous session at
their best closing levels in well over a month.
The major averages have pulled back off their highs for the young session but are holding on to modest gains. The Dow is up 35.86 points or 0.3 percent at 13,284.30, the Nasdaq is up 6.73 points or 0.2 percent at 3,029.03 and the S&P 500 is up 4.40 points or 0.3 percent at 1,432.24.
The
early strength on Wall Street comes amid optimism about the likelihood
of further stimulus from the Federal Reserve, with the central bank due
to make a monetary policy announcement later this afternoon.
Many
analysts expect the Fed to announce a new round of Treasury securities
purchases to replace its "Operation Twist" program, which expires at the
end of the year.
Peter Boockvar, managing director at
Miller Tabak, said, "We'll hear again from the 4th branch of government
today, the Federal Reserve, to tell us their plan to replace the
upcoming expiration of Smother the Yield Curve."
"Between Fed
speeches and WSJ articles, it seems likely that we'll get $45 billion
per month of unsterilized Treasury purchases, thus bringing the monthly
dose of electronically printed money to $85 billion including the
ongoing MBS program."
Nonetheless, buying interest has remained
relatively subdued ahead of the announcement, with traders reluctant to
make any significant moves.
Trading are keeping an eye on
developments in Washington, as lawmakers continue to struggle to reach
an agreement to avoid the looming fiscal cliff.
Despite reports
of progress in talks between the White House and House Speaker John
Boehner, R-Ohio, Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid, D-Nev., said Tuesday
it would be "extremely difficult" to reach an agreement before
Christmas.
While many of the major sectors are showing only
modest moves, considerable strength has emerged among gold stocks, which
are benefiting from an increase by the price of gold. The NYSE Arca
Gold Bugs Index has advanced by 1.4 percent.
Health insurance and banking stocks are also seeing early strength, while modest weakness is visible among electronic storage and commercial real estate stocks.
In overseas trading, stock markets across the Asia-Pacific region moved mostly higher during trading on Wednesday. Japan's Nikkei 225 Index rose by 0.6 percent, while Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index advanced by 0.8 percent.
Meanwhile, the major European markets are turning in a mixed performance on the day. While the French CAC 40 Index has edged down by 0.1 percent, the U.K.'s FTSE 100 Index is up by 0.2 percent and the German DAX Index is up by 0.3 percent.
In the bond market, treasuries are seeing modest weakness ahead of the Fed announcement. Subsequently, the yield on the benchmark ten-year note, which moves opposite of its price, is down by 1.2 basis points at 1.661 percent.
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TSX Jumps At Open Wednesday
Bay Street stock
moved up at open Wednesday amid buying in material stocks, with the
S&P/TSX Composite Index adding 41.18 points or 0.34 percent to
12,323.53.
The Global Gold Index rose over 1 percent, with Royal
Gold, Agnico-Eagle Mines, Allied Nevada Gold and Barrick Gold adding
around 1 percent each.
In the oil patch, Paramount Resources, Imperial Oil and Baytex Energy Corp. gathered around 1 percent each. Fertilizer maker Potash Corp. added nearly 1 percent and Agrium Inc. edged up 0.25 percent.
YM
BioSciences Inc. skyrocketed over 70 percent after Gilead Sciences Inc.
(GILD) said it would acquire the drug development company for $2.95 per
share cash.
Meanwhile, Cenovus Energy lost over 2 percent
after it guided that it would increase its oil output by 14 percent
next year as it hikes output at its oil sands project in northern
Alberta.
The price of crude oil was moving higher
Wednesday morning as traders await cues from the outcome of the two-day
FOMC meeting and the official crude oil inventories data from the EIA.
Analysts expect crude oil inventories to dip by 2.50 million barrels
last week.
Earlier today the International Energy Agency, in its
monthly oil report, forecasts a sluggish demand growth through 2013, as
global economic expansion remains tepid. However, it nudged up fourth
quarter 2012 demand forecast following stronger-than-expected October
preliminary demand data and signs of improving Chinese sentiment.
Crude for January added $0.51 to $86.30 a barrel.
The price of gold was
moving higher Wednesday morning, with the U.S. dollar ticking lower
ahead of the outcome of the two-day FOMC meeting, due out later today.
Gold for February gained $8.60 to $1,718.20 an ounce.
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European Markets Advance On Fed Optimism
The European markets are
mostly higher on Wednesday, as the two-day policy meeting of the U.S.
Federal Reserve, which is underway, gave hopes of more stimulus. The
Asian markets closed higher on stimulus optimism.
The Federal Reserve,
at the end of the two-day meeting, is expected to announce more
stimulus as Operation Twist is set to expire after 2012. The Fed will
also publish its forecasts for economic growth, unemployment, inflation
and interest rates.
Industrial production in Eurozone declined
for a second consecutive month in October, but at a slower pace compared
to the previous month, data released by Eurostat showed. Production
dropped 1.4 percent in October after a 2.3 percent fall in September.
Economists expected no change in production volume.
U.K.'s
claimant count dropped by 3,000 month-on-month to 1.58 million in
November, the Office for National Statistics said. Economists had
forecast it to rise by 7,000. At the same time, the claimant count rate
held steady at 4.8 percent as widely expected for November.
North
Korea successfully launched a satellite carrying rocket early
Wednesday, which the West and several other countries believe was aimed
at testing a long-range missile. The U.S., Japan and South Korea have
called for a meeting of the U.N. Security Council to discuss North
Korea's defiance in launching the rocket despite the international
community's request to desist from the move.
The Euro Stoxx 50
index of eurozone bluechip stocks is losing 0.05 percent, while the
Stoxx Europe 50 index, which includes some major U.K. companies, is
gaining 0.15 percent.
The German DAX is adding 0.3 percent, while Switzerland's SMI and the UK's FTSE 100 are gaining 0.2 percent each. The French CAC 40 is down 0.1 percent.
In Frankfurt, ThyssenKrupp is gaining 3.9 percent. Jefferies raised the stock to ''Buy'' from ''Hold.''
Lufthansa
is rising 2.8 percent. The airline on Tuesday reported a 1.3 percent
decline in passengers flown in November. Capacity for the month declined
2.4 percent, while passenger load factor rose 1.4 percentage points.
The company noted that the pricing environment remained positive.
Commerzbank is notably higher while Deutsche Bank is moderately down.
Credit Suisse downgraded EON and RWE. EON is modestly up while RWE is moderately lower.
Fraport is
losing 0.2 percent. The owner and operator of Germany's Frankfurt
Airport reported a drop in passengers served and aircraft movements at
Frankfurt Airport for the month of November.
In Paris, Utility EDF is falling 2.1 percent and hotel group Accor is losing 1.2 percent. Luxury group LVMH is down 1.1 percent.
Lenders BNP Paribas, Credit Agricole and Societe Generale are in positive territory. Cap Gemini is up 2 percent and France Telecom is gaining 1.4 percent.
In London, Polymetal International is gaining 3.4 percent and Evraz is rising 3.1 percent. Anglo American is gaining 2.1 percent. Barclays raised the stock to ''Equal Weight'' from ''Underweight.''
BP is rising 0.6 percent. Russia's Rosneft signed an agreement to purchase 50 percent stake in TNK-BP from the AAR Consortium.
Senior Plc is
adding 3.3 percent after issuing a trading update. On the losing side
is hotel and restaurant group Whitbread, which is falling 1.4 percent.
Imagination Technologies is declining 4.4 percent after reporting
first-half results.
Inditex is losing 0.5 percent in
Madrid. The fashion retailer reported a 27 percent rise in profit for
the nine-month period, helped by a double-digit growth in revenues and
margin expansion. Deutsche Bank reduced its rating on Novartis. The stock is modestly up in Zurich.
Across Asia/Pacific, Australia's All Ordinaries rose 0.2 percent and China's Shanghai Composite Index advanced 0.4 percent. Hong Kong's Hang Seng and Japan's Nikkei 225 climbed 0.8 percent and 0.6 percent, respectively.
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Asian Stocks Mostly Higher On Fiscal Cliff Hopes
Asian stocks ended
mostly higher on Wednesday, as investors cheered reports of progress in
U.S. budget negotiations and a stronger-than-expected German economic
sentiment index reading. With Operation Twist set to expire after 2012,
investors bet that the U.S. Federal Reserve will unveil further measures
to buy more Treasury bonds in an attempt to push down long-term
interest rates and stimulate the world's largest economy.
Japanese shares
rose to a 7-month high, boosted by the yen' weakness against both the
dollar and the euro ahead of major events at home and abroad.
Export-linked shares paced the gainers, with Canon, Nikon and TDK
gaining about 3 percent each as upbeat German business confidence
figures spurred hopes of recovery in Europe's troubled economies. News
of North Korea's rocket launch had little impact on the market. The
Nikkei average rose 0.6 percent to its highest level in more than seven
months, while the broader Topix index added 0.7 percent.
Mitsubishi Motors
soared over 10 percent on a Nikkei report that it would stop making
cars in Europe with the aim of improving its operating profit. Panasonic jumped
7.2 percent following reports that it may sell its Sanyo digital camera
business to private equity fund Advantage Partners as early as March.
The Nikkei has
climbed nearly 10 percent in the past three weeks on expectations that
the Bank of Japan will adopt aggressive monetary easing to weaken the
yen and reach the 2 percent inflation target if the Liberal Democratic
Party returns to power as a result of the December 16 general election.
The BOJ policy meeting is scheduled three days after the election. The
main opposition LDP came out on top in an opinion poll released last
week by Japan's largest daily, the Yomiuri Shimbun.
On the macroeconomic front, data released by the Cabinet Office
showed that core machine orders in Japan rose a seasonally adjusted 2.6
percent in October from the previous month, falling shy of forecasts
for an increase of 3.0 percent following the 4.3 percent contraction in
September. On a yearly basis, core machine orders collected 1.2 percent
versus forecasts for a contraction of 5.0 percent.
Australian shares rose to a 17-month high, led by miners following strong cues from overseas markets. Both the benchmark S&P/ASX 200
and the broader All Ordinaries index gained about 0.2 percent each
encouraged by signs of robust demand for commodities in China and
expectations of fresh U.S. economic stimulus measures. Global miner BHP
added a percent after it agreed to sell its stake in the Browse
liquefied natural gas project to Chinese state-owned energy producer
PetroChina for $1.63 billion. Rival Rio Tinto added 0.7 percent, while
oil & gas producer Woodside Petroleum advanced 1.6 percent.
Banks
ended on a subdued note on concerns about American legislation known as
the Foreign Account Tax Compliance Act. Commonwealth and NAB ended down
about 0.2 percent each, while Westpac slipped 0.4 percent and ANZ
shed 0.8 percent. Linc Energy soared 25 percent on renewed speculation
that Russian billionaire Roman Abramovich is interested in the company.
Shares of Macmahon Holdings were in a trading halt after the company
said it is considering withdrawing from the construction business and
tapping investors for raising 80.7 million Australian dollars through a
share issue.
South Korea's Kospi average ended 0.6 percent
higher, as investors shrugged off North Korea's rocket launch and
pinned hopes on more economic stimulus from the Federal Reserve. South
Korea today joined the United States and Japan in calling for a meeting
of the U.N. Security Council to discuss North Korea's defiance in
launching a long-range rocket despite the international community's
request to desist from the move, South Korean media reported.
"We
will discuss the North's long-range missile launch at the Security
Council with the aim of reaching a consensus on adopting tougher
sanctions against North Korea," the Yonhap news agency quoted a South
Korean Foreign Ministry official as saying. Meanwhile, S&P said it
does not expect North Korea's rocket launch to exert a material negative
impact on the sovereign ratings on the Republic of Korea.
New Zealand shares fell notably, dragged down by heavyweights Telecom, Contact Energy and Fletcher Building,
as investors took some profits off the table following sharp gains this
year. Shares of the country's biggest phone company, utility Contact
Energy and the nation's largest construction company all fell about 2
percent each, while the benchmark NZX-50 index shed 0.8 percent.
Retailer Warehouse Group,
the biggest retailer on the exchange, lost 2.3 percent, extending its
slide to the lowest level since September 28 after it decided to buy
appliance and consumer electronics chain Noel Leeming for $65 million
from Gresham Private Equity. Exporter Fisher & Paykel Healthcare
retreated 1.9 percent, taking cues from a high kiwi dollar, while
retailers Kathmandu Holdings, Michael Hill International and Pumpkin
Patch rose between half a percent and 4.5 percent on hopes of strong
Christmas sales.
China's Shanghai Composite index rose 0.4 percent and Hong Kong's Hang Seng index added 0.8 percent on optimism over budget talks in Washington. India's benchmark Sensex was
moving down 0.2 percent as strong IIP data diminished chances of a rate
cut at the upcoming monetary policy meeting next week. The markets in
Indonesia, Malaysia, Singapore and Taiwan are up between half a percent
and 1 percent.
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Crude Up Ahead Of Inventories Data, FOMC
The
price of crude oil was moving higher Wednesday morning as traders await
cues from the outcome of the two-day FOMC meeting and the official
crude oil inventories data from the EIA.
Earlier today the
International Energy Agency, in its monthly oil report, forecasts a
sluggish demand growth through 2013, as global economic expansion
remains tepid. However, it nudged up fourth quarter 2012 demand forecast
following stronger-than-expected October preliminary demand data and
signs of improving Chinese sentiment.
Light Sweet Crude Oil
(WTI) futures for January delivery, gained $0.43 to $86.22 a barrel.
Yesterday, oil recovered from its three-week low to settle marginally
higher after the OPEC held its 2013 world oil demand at 0.80 mbd and
noted that the US oil demand moved from deep contraction to minor growth
in the third quarter of 2012.
Tuesday after the trading hours, the API said
US crude oil inventories increased by 4.27 million barrels and gasoline
stocks added 2.76 million barrels in the weekended December 07.
The price of gold was
moving higher Wednesday morning, with the U.S. dollar ticking lower
ahead of the outcome of the two-day FOMC meeting, due out later today.
Gold
for February delivery, the most actively traded contract, added $5.30
to $1,714.90 an ounce. Yesterday, gold ended marginally lower as the U.S. dollar was mixed ahead of the outcome of a two-day Fed meeting.
Holdings
of SPDR Gold Trust, the world's largest gold-backed exchange-traded
fund, eased to 1,351.42 tons from a record high of 1,353.35 tons.
This morning, the U.S. dollar was
retreating from its 2-week high versus the euro and slipped back to a
5-week low against sterling. The buck was trading near its 7-month high
versus the yen and ticking lower against the Swiss franc.
In
economic news from the euro zone, industrial production declined for a
second consecutive month in October, but at a slower pace compared to
the previous month, data released by Eurostat showed. Production dropped
1.4 percent month-on-month in October after a 2.3 percent fall in
September. Economists expected no change in production volume.
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