Thursday, 6 December 2012

ADVFN III World Daily Markets Bulletin (December 6th, 2012)

ADVFN III World Daily Markets Bulletin
Daily world financial news



US Market
Stocks Showing A Lack Of Direction In Early Trading

After seeing considerable volatility in the previous session, stocks are turning in a lackluster performance in early trading on Thursday. The major averages are lingering near the unchanged line after ending Wednesday's trading mixed.

The major averages currently remain nearly flat, showing moves of less than a tenth of a percent. The Dow is up 6.83 points at 13,041.32, the Nasdaq is up 2.31 points at 2,976.01 and the S&P 500 is up 0.14 points at 1,409.43.

The choppy trading comes as traders continue to keep a close eye on developments in Washington, where lawmakers continue to struggle to reach an agreement to avoid the looming fiscal cliff.

Unless Congress takes action, approximately $600 billion in automatic tax increases and government spending cut are due to take effect at the end of the year.

Reports on Wednesday indicated that some rank-and-file Republicans might compromise on higher tax rates on the wealthy in exchange for entitlement reforms, but GOP leaders remain staunchly opposed to the increase in rates proposed by President Obama.

As a result of the focus on the fiscal cliff negotiations, traders have largely shrugged off a report from the Labor Department showing a bigger than expected drop by initial jobless claims in the week ended December 1st.

The Labor Department said jobless claims fell to 370,000, a decrease of 25,000 from the previous week's revised figure of 395,000. Economists had expected jobless claims to drop to 380,000 from the 393,000 originally reported for the previous week.

With the drop, jobless claims continued to settle down after seeing considerable volatility due to the impact of Superstorm Sandy.

Most of the major sectors are showing only modest moves, contributing to the lack of direction being shown by the broader markets.

While commercial real estate and gold stocks are seeing some early strength, modest weakness is visible among networking and defense stocks.

In overseas trading, stock markets across the Asia-Pacific region turned in a mixed performance during trading on Thursday. While Japan's Nikkei 225 Index advanced by 0.8 percent, Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index edged down by 0.1 percent.

Meanwhile, the major European markets have all moved to the upside on the day. The German DAX Index has risen by 1 percent, while the U.K.'s FTSE 100 Index and the French CAC 40 Index are both up by 0.3 percent.

In the bond market, treasuries are moving modestly higher, adding to the gains seen in the two previous sessions. Subsequently, the yield on the benchmark ten-year note, which moves opposite of its price, is down by 1.9 basis points at 1.572 percent.
Canadian Market
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TSX Flat At Open Thursday

Canadian stocks were little changed at open Thursday amid marginal selling in commodities and financial stocks, with the S&P/TSX Composite Index edging up 7.68 points or 0.06 percent to 12,164.97.

Among financial stocks, National Bank shed over 2 percent even after reporting improved fourth-quarter net income of C$1.93, that came inline with analysts' estimates.

TD Bank Group slipped 1 percent despite reporting fourth quarter net adjusted income of C$1.83 per share, beating consensus estimates of C$1.81 per share.

CIBC edged up 0.25 percent after reporting improved fourth-quarter net income Among base-metal stocks, First Quantum Minerals lost about 2 percent, while Inmet Mining was easing 0.50 percent.

Meanwhile, Niko Resources rose close to 3 percent, while Suncor Energy was shedding 0.60 percent.

Dollar stores operator Dollarama Inc. edged up 0.10 percent after reporting improved third quarter net income.

The price of gold was little changed Thursday morning as the US dollar was ticking lower amid weekly jobless claims data from the Labor Department. Gold for February edged down $3.60 to $1,690.20 an ounce.

National Bank of Canada reported improved fourth-quarter net income at C$333 million or C$1.97 per share up from C$274 million or C$1.62 per share last year. Excluding items, net income was C$325 million or C$1.93 per share compared to C$285 million or C$1.68 per share prior year. Analysts expected the company to report profit per share of C$1.93 for the quarter

Athletic apparel company Lululemon Athletica Inc. reported the third quarter net of $57.3 million or $0.39 per share, up from $38.8 million or $0.27 per share last year. Analysts expected the company to earn $0.37 per share for the quarter.

Airlines services provider Air Canada reported that its System traffic in November 2012 increased 4.6 percent from November 2011, on a system-wide capacity increase of 1.7 percent.

In economic news, a report from the Statistics Canada revealed that the total value of building permits rose 15 percent to $7.5 billion in October, reversing a 12.7 percent decline in September. The increase was primarily the result of higher construction intentions for non-residential buildings, mostly in Ontario and Quebec.
European Market
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European Markets Higher Before Rate Decisions

The European markets are modest to moderately higher on Thursday, ahead of key interest rate decisions from the Bank of England and the European Central Bank, after Standard and Poor's lowered Greece's credit rating. The Asian markets were mostly weak amid growth concerns.

Standard and Poor's lowered Greece's credit rating to 'selective default' from 'CCC', stating the Greek government's invitation to private sector bondholders on December 3 to participate in a series of debt buyback auctions amounted to a distressed debt restricting.

At 7.00 am ET, the Bank of England is set to announce the results of the monetary policy meeting. The bank is expected to maintain its quantitative easing at 375 billion pounds and the interest rate at 0.50 percent.

At 7.45 am ET, the European Central Bank will announce its interest rate decision. The central bank is seen holding its interest rate at 0.75 percent.

The Euro Stoxx 50 index of eurozone bluechip stocks is adding 0.39 percent, while the Stoxx Europe 50 index, which includes some major U.K. companies, is gaining 0.37 percent.

The German DAX is adding 1 percent and the French CAC 40 is rising 0.4 percent. The UK's FTSE 100 is gaining 0.2 percent and Switzerland's SMI is climbing 0.7 percent.

In Frankfurt, Bayer is gaining 3.7 percent and Merck is adding 2.4 percent. ThyssenKrupp is rising 2 percent. The steel giant said three of its executive board members are stepping down.

Daimler is gaining around 1 percent. The company plans to cut its stake in Airbus maker EADS by up to 7.44 percent before year-end. Beiersdorf is climbing 1.8 percent after lifting its sales forecast for the year. MunichRe is moderately higher even after Societe Generale reduced its rating on the stock. Sky Deutschland is modestly down after Citigroup downgraded the stock.

In Paris, EADS is gaining 7.4 percent. The firm late Wednesday announced a new shareholding structure whereby France, Germany and Spain have agreed on a capped government shareholding of about 12 percent, 12 percent and 4 percent, respectively, with Germany taking a direct stake in EADS for the first time. Merrill Lynch raised the stock to ''Buy'' from ''Neutral.''

Lafarge is advancing 1.8 percent and Technip is gaining 1.5 percent. Societe Generale, BNP Paribas and Credit Agricole are gaining between 1.5 percent and 1.3 percent.

GDF Suez is plunging 10.4 percent. The utility expects recurring income to decline year over year in 2013. Merrill Lynch cut the stock to ''Neutral.'' Lagardere is losing 1.4 percent, following a broker downgrade.

In London, Miners Antofagasta, Vedanta Resources and Eurasian Natural Resources are notably higher. Standard Chartered is gaining 1.1 percent. The lender said it expects to pay around $330 million as settlement to U.S. regulators for its failure to comply with sanctions against Iran.

Premier Farnell is climbing 6.5 percent. The electronic components distributor reported third-quarter results. TUI Travel is gaining 1.4 percent. Deutsche Bank cut the stock to ''Hold'' from ''Buy.''

easyJet is up around 1 percent after the low-cost airline reported increases in passengers and load factor for the month of November. Sage Group, which reported results yesterday, is falling 3.1 percent.

Rolls Royce is losing 2.7 percent. The engine maker said it has passed information to the Serious Fraud Office, or SFO, about concerns regarding bribery and corruption involving intermediaries in overseas markets. This follows a request for information from the SFO about allegations of malpractice in Indonesia and China.

Oil contractor Saipem is declining 7.8 percent in Milan. The firm announced Wednesday resignation of key executives, including that of CEO, as part of an Italian probe into alleged corruption.
Asia Market
Asian Stocks Mixed As US Worries Weigh

Asian markets turned in a mixed performance on Thursday, as worries over the U.S. fiscal cliff offset optimism about the Chinese economy. Investors reacted cautiously to remarks by U.S. President Barack Obama indicating that there will be no deal to avert the fiscal crisis unless Republicans are willing to increase the income tax rates on the top 2 percent of Americans. Eurozone concerns also returned to the fore after global ratings agency Standard & Poor's cut Greece's credit rating to "selective default" from triple-C in light of its offer to buy back bonds up to 10 billion euros at well below their face value as part of its bailout deal.

Japanese shares hit a seven-month high, bolstered by the yen's weakness against the dollar and the euro following reports of the likelihood of an opposition victory in the upcoming December 16 Lower House elections. A sweep to power by the LDP will put pressure on the Bank of Japan to ease monetary policy aggressively. Bank of Japan Deputy Governor Kiyohiko Nishimura said yesterday the central bank will debate whether its monetary easing in September and October was enough to support the economy seen as undershooting forecasts. The Nikkei average rose 0.8 percent to end at its highest level since April 26, while the broader Topix index added 0.9 percent.

Export-linked shares benefited the most from the yen's weakness. Honda Motor, Nikon and Shin-Etsu Chemical rose about 2 percent each. China-linked Komatsu and Fanuc added 1-2 percent on speculation about additional public spending in China. Sharp soared 10 percent after Taiwanese contract manufacturing giant Hon Hai Precision Industry Co. said it is in talks to buy Sharp's TV factories in Japan or abroad.

China's Shanghai Composite index edged down 0.1 percent and Hong Kong's Hang Seng index eased marginally following strong gains on Wednesday on remarks by Communist Party chief Xi Jinping suggesting the country would maintain its fine-tuning of economic policies in 2013 to ensure stable economic growth.

Australian shares edged lower despite data showing a surprise drop in the nation's unemployment rate. Both the benchmark S&P/ASX 200 and the broader All Ordinaries index slipped about 0.3 percent each. Australia saw a seasonally adjusted unemployment rate of 5.2 percent in November, the Australian Bureau of Statistics said, blowing away forecasts for a rate of 5.5 percent. The economy added 13,900 jobs in November to 11,546,400 - also shattering expectations for a flat reading after adding a downwardly revised 10,200 in the previous month. The Australian dollar rose sharply versus the dollar in the wake of the strong jobs data.

In stock-specific action, banks ended on a subdued note amid worries the RBA hasn't done enough to shore up growth. Commonwealth led the decliners, falling 1.2 percent, while ANZ and NAB slid about 0.2 percent each. Global miners BHP Billiton and Rio Tinto rose between half a percent and 1 percent, but smaller rival Fortescue edged down 0.3 percent. Gold miner Newcrest fell 1.8 percent as gold prices held near a one-month low. Shares of Sirius Resources were placed in a trading halt pending a capital raising.

Seoul shares ended slightly higher despite concerns about stalled U.S. budget talks. The benchmark Kospi average edged up 0.1 percent to a fresh seven-week high in relatively thin trading. Steelmaker POSCO rallied 3 percent and Hyundai Steel soared 4.7 percent on hopes of a recovery in China after the nation's new leadership pledged to maintain economic policy and promote domestic demand. Market heavyweight Samsung Electronics hit a fresh record high early in the session before ending down marginally.

In economic news, the South Korean economy grew a seasonally adjusted 0.1 percent in the July-September period compared to the previous three months, marking the slowest rate of increase in 11 quarters, the Bank of Korea said in a revised report, strengthening expectations for another rate cut early next year.

New Zealand shares snapped a three-day losing streak despite mixed regional cues. The benchmark NZX-50 index rose 0.4 percent, led by Xero after it raised funds from U.S. investors. Shares of the cloud-based accounting software provider soared 5.6 percent. Chorus, the telecommunications network operator, saw its shares climbing 2.2 percent, extending recovery for a second session after plunging 18.5 percent earlier this week on concerns about price regulation.

Gold miner OceanaGold fell 1.9 percent, extending the previous session's 12 percent loss after the company completed a book-building process for capital raising. In economic news, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand held its benchmark interest rate steady at a record low of 2.50 percent, as widely expected, amid benign domestic inflation and the strong kiwi dollar.

Elsewhere, India's benchmark Sensex was moving down half a percent as investors exercised caution ahead of FDI vote in the Rajya Sabha. The key benchmark indexes in Indonesia, Malaysia and Singapore were up modestly, while the Taiwan Weighted average slipped 0.3 percent.
Commodities
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Crude Flat Ahead Of Weekly Jobs Data

The price of crude oil was little changed Thursday morning as traders look to the developments in the US budget talks. President Barack Obama said that a deal to avert the so-called fiscal cliff was possible in 'about a week' if Republicans compromised on taxes.

Light Sweet Crude Oil (WTI) futures for January delivery, edged up $0.05 to $87.93 barrel. Yesterday, oil settled lower on a stronger dollar and some soft jobs data, notwithstanding a more-than-expected decline in oil inventories last week. Meanwhile, investors also continued to worry over the stalemate in the U.S. budget talks with no resolution in sight to avert the fiscal cliff.

Wednesday during trading hours, the EIA said that US crude oil inventories shed 2.40 million barrels, while gasoline stocks jumped 7.90 million barrels in the weekended November 30. Analysts expected crude oil inventories to dip 1.25 million barrels, while gasoline stocks were seen adding 2 million barrels last week.

The price of gold was little changed Thursday morning as the US dollar was ticking lower ahead of weekly jobless claims data from the Labor Department.

Yesterday, Goldman Sachs cut its 2013 gold forecasts and said gold's current price cycle will likely turn next year as a rise in real interest rates on the back of improved growth offsets any further balance sheet expansion from the Federal Reserve. Goldman cut its three, six and 12-month forecasts for gold prices to $1,825 an ounce, $1,805 an ounce and $1,800 an ounce respectively. It also introduced a 2014 forecast of $1,750 an ounce, indicating price growth could tail off.

Gold for February delivery, the most actively traded contract, edged up $0.60 to $1,694.40 an ounce. Yesterday, gold extended losses for a second session as the dollar strengthened against some major currencies, struggling to recover from the heavy sell-off yesterday mainly on disappointment over the lack of progress in the U.S. budget talks. There was also a slew of encouraging macroeconomic data from the U.S. that checked the progress of gold.

Holdings of SPDR Gold Trust, the world's largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund, were unchanged at a record high of 1,351.54 tons.

This morning, the U.S. dollar was lingering around its one month low versus the euro and sterling. The buck was hovering near its 7-month high versus the yen and trading flat against the Swiss franc.

In economic news, the euro area economy slid into recession in the third quarter, an updated report from Eurostat confirmed. The gross domestic product fell 0.1 percent from a quarter ago, when it dropped 0.2 percent. The figures matched the preliminary estimate released on November 15.

The Bank of England maintained its quantitative easing at GBP 375 billion and the interest rate at 0.50 percent, as widely expected.

The European Central Bank will announce its interest rate decision at 7.45 am ET. The central bank is seen holding its interest rate at 0.75 percent.

Traders will look to the weekly jobless claims data form the U.S. Labor Department, due out at 8.30 a.m ET. Economists expect claims to decline to 380,000 from 393,000 in the previous week.

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