Monday, 21 January 2013

ADVFN III Evening Euro Markets Bulletin (January 21st., 2013).


ADVFN III Evening Euro Markets Bulletin
Daily world financial news Monday, 21 January 2013



London Market Report
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London close: Stocks extend gains on quiet day
Market Movers
  • techMARK 2,222.99 +0.21%
  • FTSE 100 6,180.98 +0.43%
  • FTSE 250 12,994.94 +0.38%
With Wall Street closed for Martin Luther King Day on Monday, the UK stock market took advantage of low volumes to push London's benchmark index close to levels not seen in five years.

"European stock markets benefitted from the lack of news, earnings and economic data released today with the major indices higher by around 0.5%," said Market Analyst Craig Erlam from Alpari this afternoon.

"The FTSE 100 moved ever closer to May 2008 highs as the stock market bubble continued to rise supported by monetary stimulus measures from all over the globe, a lack of bad news out of the Eurozone and extremely low earnings expectations," he said.

Eurozone finance ministers (the Eurogroup) are meeting in Brussels today where they are expected to elect the a new head with Jean-Claude Juncker stepping down from the post after having served for eight years. Holland's Finance Minister Jeroen Dijsselbloem is expected to take the helm.

Stocks also made gains as a two-day Bank of Japan meeting commenced, with expectations high for bond-buying announcements. According to a Bloomberg survey, most analysts expect a 10tn-yen increase in asset purchases.
FTSE 100: Admiral, IAG and RBS provide a lift
Insurance giant Admiral surged today after Goldman Sachs upped its view on the shares from 'neutral' to 'buy' and hiked its price target from 1,160p to 1,500p. Admiral was followed closely by sector peer Aviva.

Airline operator IAG was performing well after Credit Suisse lifted its recommendation from 'neutral' to 'outperform', citing "expected progress" at Spanish unit Iberia. "The market has begun to price in Iberia progress. However resolution of labour challenges would likely drive significantly greater confidence in management's ability to achieve 2015 targets", the broker said.

Royal Bank of Scotland (RBS) rose on reports it is planning to divide its investment bank into two separate divisions. The transformation would see the RBS's markets business split from its international banking division.

Gold miner Randgold also gained after saying that production has returned to normal at its Tongon mine after a fire in the mills section of plant three weeks ago.

Leading the downside was publishing and education company Pearson after its cutting its full-year profit guidance slightly. Meanwhile, the company said that the tough market conditions and structural industry changes seen at the end of 2012 have continued into 2013.

Shares in aerospace engineer Meggitt were weighed down by concerns that one of the group's subsidiaries' products could be linked to the grounding of Boeing 787 Dreamliners.

Aggreko was hit by a downgrade from analysts at Bank of America to 'neutral', while luxury brand Burberry fell after sector peer Richemont after missed revenue forecasts.

Drinks group Diageo was lower after UBS cut its recommendation to 'neutral'. Rival SABMiller was also down after saying that it is to sell its Panama-based milk and juice business to narrow the focus of the Cerveceria Nacional division. SAB is to present its third-quarter trading update tomorrow.
FTSE 250: Afren up after record performance
Oil and gas group Afren was a high riser after saying that production levels last year hit a record-high as it labelled its exploration and appraisal campaign a "significant success". Net production in 2012 totalled 42,830 barrels of oil equivalents per day (boepd), in line with the guidance range of 42,000-46,000 boepd given at the half-year results statement in August.

Transport and logistics group Stobart also rose after saying that Non-Executive Chairman Rodney Baker-Bates is to retire.

easyJet finished lower after founder Sir Stelios Haji-Ioannou warned directors he will sell his 37% family stake in the airline if they enforce plans to buy new aircraft, according to reports. He voiced his concern over the company's expansion plans in an open letter published today, accusing directors of "squandering" cash on new planes.

FTSE 100 - Risers
Admiral Group (ADM) 1,211.00p +4.94%
Aviva (AV.) 374.90p +2.38%
Weir Group (WEIR) 1,950.00p +2.31%
Royal Bank of Scotland Group (RBS) 366.90p +2.26%
GlaxoSmithKline (GSK) 1,405.00p +2.11%
International Consolidated Airlines Group SA (CDI) (IAG) 212.50p +1.97%
GKN (GKN) 248.10p +1.97%
Smith & Nephew (SN.) 710.00p +1.79%
National Grid (NG.) 695.00p +1.68%
British American Tobacco (BATS) 3,223.50p +1.67%

FTSE 100 - Fallers
Pearson (PSON) 1,202.00p -2.91%
Meggitt (MGGT) 429.40p -1.78%
Kingfisher (KGF) 268.90p -1.47%
Burberry Group (BRBY) 1,367.00p -1.37%
Aggreko (AGK) 1,806.00p -1.31%
Diageo (DGE) 1,819.50p -1.28%
Shire Plc (SHP) 2,071.00p -0.96%
Tullow Oil (TLW) 1,154.00p -0.94%
Rexam (REX) 459.70p -0.91%
SABMiller (SAB) 2,960.50p -0.80%

FTSE 250 - Risers
Ocado Group (OCDO) 95.05p +9.25%
Brewin Dolphin Holdings (BRW) 222.00p +5.46%
WH Smith (SMWH) 646.00p +4.96%
Henderson Group (HGG) 158.70p +4.96%
Centamin (DI) (CEY) 57.80p +4.24%
Stobart Group Ltd. (STOB) 95.00p +3.83%
Ferrexpo (FXPO) 271.20p +3.47%
ITE Group (ITE) 255.20p +3.40%
Drax Group (DRX) 580.50p +3.20%
Lonmin (LMI) 342.90p +3.07%

FTSE 250 - Fallers
Pace (PIC) 213.60p -2.24%
Wetherspoon (J.D.) (JDW) 500.00p -1.96%
Telecom Plus (TEP) 962.00p -1.89%
Bwin.party Digital Entertainment (BPTY) 101.70p -1.74%
Informa (INF) 482.90p -1.69%
easyJet (EZJ) 857.50p -1.66%
Workspace Group (WKP) 330.00p -1.64%
Computacenter (CCC) 445.80p -1.57%
EnQuest (ENQ) 123.20p -1.44%
Domino Printing Sciences (DNO) 649.00p -1.37% 

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Europe midday: Eurogroup to discuss direct bank recapitalisation
- Eurogroup to discuss bank liquidity injections
- Bundesbank does not expect weakness to last long
- Merkel's CDU loses elections in Lower Saxony
- Juncker sees no decision tonight on Cyprus
- Richemont down on weakness in Asia Pacific

FTSE-100: 0.23%
Dax-30: 0.39%
Cac-40:0.25%
FTSE-Mibtel 30: 0.06%
Ibex 35: 0.23%
Stoxx 600: 0.16%

The major European equity benchmarks were trading near unchanged by the midday point of the session. That despite the unexpected election defeat of German Chancellor Angela Merkel's CDU in the state of Lower Saxony and ahead of this evening's meeting of Eurogroup finance ministers.

The SPD/Greens won another state from Merkel's CDU/CSU/FDP coalition, even if only by one seat. Nevertheless, Barclays Research did not see the results as affecting policy-making at the federal level. Also to be taken into account, Merkel and her allies in the FDP continue to lead very comfortably in national polls (at 47% versus the SPD/Greens at 38%). Even so, the national elections could still become a tighter race than the latest polls suggest, those economists indicated.

Of interest, some reports indicated that Germany's Economics minister – Rosler- had offered to tender his resignation following the defeat.

Discussions at Monday evening's Eurogroup meeting were expected to include the option of direct bank recapitalization by the European Stability Mechanism (ESM), the aid program for the Spanish banking sector, according to analysts, and the naming of the grouping's new President. No decision was expected on Cyprus.

Acting as a backdrop, US markets were to remain closed in observance of the Martin Luther King Holiday. No less relevant was the start of the Bank of Japan's two day policy meeting, after which it might unveil aggressive new policy measures – at least on the monetary policy side.
Richemont weighs on the Stoxx
Luxury goods maker Richemont announced that sales in the last quarter of 2012 were flat in the Asia Pacific region, even if that follows on several years of exceptional growth in that area of the world, especially in China. To be had in account are the demanding comparative figures for the same quarter last year. As well, wholesale sales growth was lower than in the first six months and in the comparative period due to the cautious approach taken by the Group's retail partners in Hong Kong and mainland China.

Over the weekend German power producer E.On asked unions to return to talks.

In the latest edition of Der Spiegel EADS Chief Executive Tom Enders told the German government that it would not accept interference in the company's decisions on when and where to develop aircraft in the future.

Nokia might be looking to sell £625m in debt to benefit from the recent fall in market rates, according to a source cited by Bloomberg.

From a sector stand-point the worst performers were Personal and household goods (-0.75%), Media (-0.71%) and Real Estate (-0.19%).
Better than expected economic data

The Dutch consumer confidence index for the month of January improved to -36
points from -39 in the month before (Consensus: -39).

Spain's trade deficit narrowed to 29.5bn euros in the 11 month until the end of November, but exports declined by 6% versus a year ago.

German producer prices fell by 0.3% month-on-month in December (Consensus: 0.0%).

In its monthly report for January the Bundesbank said that the weak business cycle should not last long. Euro steady despite election results

The euro/dollar was standing 0.02% lower at 1.3318.

Front month Brent crude futures were down by 0.206 at $111.67.
US Market Report
The US Markets were closed today
Broker Tips
Broker tips: Meggitt, IAG, Unilever
Shares in aerospace engineer Meggitt were weighed down on Monday morning by concerns that one of the group's products could be linked to the grounding of Boeing 787 Dreamliners.

However, analysts at Jefferies gave the company the benefit of the doubt, saying that it's too early to point fingers.

"[…] It is possible that Meggitt, as supplier of the B787 BCU, will be affected by some negative sentiment in the short - term. We believe, however, that it would still be premature and quite possibly mistaken to identify lithium-ion battery technology as the villain of the piece."

Given the expected progress made by the Spanish airline Iberia, Credit Suisse has lifted its recommendation for parent company International Consolidated Airlines Group (known as IAG) from 'neutral' to 'outperform'.

"If Iberia management can negotiate a satisfactory deal with labour, or unilaterally reduce headcount (plan B), we think Iberia should limit its 2013E operating loss to c€100m (despite 1Q weakness)," Credit Suisse said. This compares with the estimate €334m loss in 2012.

Investec has upgraded its recommendation for consumer good group Unilever from 'hold' to 'buy' ahead of this week's fourth-quarter results.

"The principle catalysts for our change of view are the potential for margins to surprise on the upside in FY13 and a belief that the Developing Market business is still being undervalued," said analyst Martin Deboo.
 
            

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