Thursday, 31 January 2013

ADVFN III Evening Euro Markets Bulletin (January 31, 2013).

ADVFN III Evening Euro Markets Bulletin
Daily world financial news Thursday, 31 January 2013

London Market Report
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Stocks fall as focus turns to Friday's US jobs report
Equities were extending losses on Thursday after yesterday’s shock contraction in the States, as markets braced for another busy day on the economic calendar tomorrow.

“Traders were unwinding positions earlier on January's phenomenal rally which sees major share markets at multi-year highs,” said market strategist Ishaq Siddiqi from ETX Capital.

Market analyst Craig Erlam from Alpari said this afternoon that markets were nervous ahead of the crucial jobs report in the US due out tomorrow afternoon. He said: “The jobs report tomorrow is always one of the most keenly watched items on the economic calendar, with the potential to cause significant movements in a number of markets. The figures over the last couple of months have been pretty uninspiring, as the private sector held off on hiring due to the uncertainty surrounding the fiscal cliff.

“All of the political infighting did little to ease these concerns, but now a lot of this has been dealt with, especially in respect to taxes, I expect to see the numbers pick up in the first few months of the year. We could even see the first quarter numbers come in much higher than expected, with a backlog of new hires over the past few months being carried out at the start of 2013.”

Stocks fell yesterday after the US Commerce Department revealed that the world's largest economy shrank by 0.1% in the last three months of last year, a stark contrast to the 3.1% growth seen in the third quarter. Forecasts were for a 1.1% expansion.

Meanwhile, economic data from the US today came in mixed: initial jobless claims rose by more than expected last week; personal incomes surpassed forecasts; while the Chicago NAPM purchasing managers’ index came in well ahead of estimates.




FTSE 100: AstraZeneca hit by falling revenue
Pharmaceutical titan AstraZeneca dropped after reporting that full-year revenue fell 15 per cent due to a loss of exclusivity on several brands. The company also said that it would not buy back any shares in 2013 "in order to maintain the flexibility to invest the business".

Oil giant Royal Dutch Shell was lower after full-year profits slipped slightly as a result of oil price volatility. An analyst at Investec labelled the company's fourth quarter as a "substantial miss".

A third-quarter production report from Vedanta disappointed early on but shares climbed firmly into positive territory by the afternoon. The company said that oil and gas output rose 21% and mined metal and silver increased strongly.

Petrofac recovered one day after the stock plunged over fears that industry earnings would be lower than expected.

Consumer goods giant Diageo was higher after posting profits broadly in line with market expectations. While North American growth was weaker-than-expected and Europe saw continued weakness, this was offset by a strong performance in the Emerging Markets.

Broadcaster and broadband group BSkyB gained after beating profit forecasts in the first half, helped by a surge in customer numbers. The firm also hiked its dividend by a fifth.




AIM/Small Cap Report
Lonmin, the world’s third largest platinum producer, jumped after posting quarterly production ahead of targets despite strikes that hit the South African mining sector last year.

Robust festive trading figures for pubs group Mitchells & Butlers saw shares advance this morning; the company reported a 1.0% increase in like-for-like sales in the 14 weeks to January 5th.

Sector peer Enterprise Inns suffered heavy falls after Numis downgraded its rating on the stock this morning.

3i climbed after posting a 4.8% increase in net asset value in the three months to December 31st.

FTSE 250 - Risers
Lonmin (LMI) 362.90p +15.21%
Mitchells & Butlers (MAB) 326.50p +10.30%
Chemring Group (CHG) 286.20p +3.77%
BTG (BTG) 331.40p +3.40%
Imagination Technologies Group (IMG) 514.00p +3.23%
Pace (PIC) 226.50p +3.10%
Supergroup (SGP) 608.00p +2.88%
Great Portland Estates (GPOR) 485.60p +2.71%
Brown (N.) Group (BWNG) 366.00p +2.38%
Barr (A.G.) (BAG) 538.00p +2.28%

FTSE 250 - Fallers
Enterprise Inns (ETI) 90.90p -7.90%
New World Resources A Shares (NWR) 280.00p -3.78%
Ophir Energy (OPHR) 510.50p -3.13%
3i Group (III) 264.50p -2.94%
Petra Diamonds Ltd.(DI) (PDL) 109.40p -2.84%
Heritage Oil (HOIL) 198.50p -2.70%
Brewin Dolphin Holdings (BRW) 208.90p -2.61%
Redrow (RDW) 186.90p -2.55%
Home Retail Group (HOME) 119.60p -2.45%
Victrex (VCT) 1,530.00p -2.30%




Europe Market Report
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European Markets Declined On Mixed Economic Data & Earnings

The European markets finished in negative territory on Thursday, after some mixed earnings results and some mixed European economic reports. However, the markets pared their losses in the afternoon, following the release of some positive economic data from the United States. Thursday was the first opportunity Europe had to react to Wednesday's FOMC announcement. Investors will now turn their attention to the U.S. jobs report for January, which will be released on Friday.

The Euro Stoxx 50 index of eurozone bluechip stocks declined by 0.81 percent, while the Stoxx Europe 50 index, which includes some major U.K. companies, lost 0.21 percent.

The DAX of Germany dropped by 0.24 percent and the CAC 40 of France fell by 0.87 percent. The FTSE 100 of the U.K. decreased by 0.55 percent, but the SMI of Switzerland gained 0.38 percent.

In Frankfurt, Bayer fell by 0.75 percent. France's health regulator is considering suspending sales of its Diane 35 acne treatment.

Infineon Technologies increased by 4.18 percent, after the semiconductor maker reported quarterly results on expected lines and backed its full-year revenue outlook.

Deutsche Bank rose by 3.35 percent, despite reporting a fourth quarter loss.

In Paris, Essilor International finished lower by 2.44 percent. Exane BNP Paribas downgraded its rating on the stock to "Neutral" from "Outperform."

In London, Rio Tinto increased by 0.62 percent. The mining giant announced that it remains on track to start production at its Oyu Tolgoi copper-gold project in Mongolia by the middle of the year, contrary to reports that it might temporarily halt construction because of political issues.

Royal Dutch Shell declined by 3.19 percent, after the oil giant reported a marginal rise in fourth-quarter profit, helped by a slight growth in revenues.

AstraZeneca dropped by 3.19 percent. The company warned that revenues and earnings will continue to decline through 2013, due to the expiration of drug patents.

Diageo climbed by 1.48 percent, after reporting a sharp profit increase for the half year.

Antofagasta fell by 2.05 percent, after Credit Suisse downgraded it to "Underperform" from "Neutral."

Euro area house prices decreased at a faster pace in the third quarter, European Union statistical office Eurostat said Thursday.

The House Price Index dropped 0.7 percent from the second quarter, when prices fell 0.1 percent, Eurostat said in its first ever publication on the evolution of house prices in the 17-nation currency bloc. In the first quarter of 2012, prices fell 0.7 percent.

Germany's unemployment fell unexpectedly in January as the labor market turned healthier in the face of rising prospects of moderate economic growth.

Unemployment declined sharply by a seasonally adjusted 16,000 in January, following December's revised decrease of 2,000, figures from the Federal Labor Agency revealed Thursday. The latest decline contrasted with an expected increase of 8,000.

Germany's retail sales decreased more than expected in December reflecting weak domestic demand. Sales declined 1.7 percent in December from a month ago, when it was up 0.6 percent, Destatis reported Thursday. Sales were forecast to fall just 0.1 percent.

Germany's inflation unexpectedly slowed in January, preliminary data from the Federal Statistical Office showed on Thursday.

The harmonized index of consumer prices (HICP), which is meant for EU comparison purposes, rose 1.9 percent annually, which was a tad slower than the 2 percent increase in December. Economists had forecast the figure to hold steady at 2 percent.

France's producer price inflation slowed unexpectedly in December, data released by the statistical office INSEE showed Thursday. Producer prices on the French market rose 1.6 percent year-on-year, following a 1.9 percent gain in November. Economists had forecast the figure to climb to 2 percent.

French household spending remained flat in December, following a 0.2 percent increase in November, the statistical office Insee showed Thursday. Economists had forecast spending to grow 0.2 percent.

Confidence among British consumers improved more than expected in January as they turned optimistic about the economy's prospects, a survey by GfK NOP revealed Thursday. Also, consumers were upbeat on making major purchases at present.

The headline consumer confidence index rose to -26 in January from -29 in December. Economists expected only a modest increase to -28.

House prices in the UK increased in January after recording no change in the past two months, as recent employment gains and easier access to bank loans, thanks to central bank's credit program, lifted housing market activity.

House prices increased 0.5 percent month-on-month in January, a report from the Nationwide Building Society showed Thursday. The rate of increase was faster than the 0.2 percent increase expected by economists.




US Market Report
Mixed Batch Of Data Leads To Choppy Trading On Wall Stree

With traders digesting a mixed batch of economic data, stocks are turning in a lackluster performance during trading on Thursday. Uncertainty ahead of tomorrow's monthly jobs report is also contributing to the lack of conviction among traders.

The major averages are currently posting modest losses, although the Nasdaq is down only 0.83 points or less than a tenth of a percent at 3,141.48. The Dow is down 31.59 points or 0.2 percent at 13,878.83 and the S&P 500 is down 3.63 points or 0.2 percent at 1,498.33.

The choppy trading on Wall Street comes as traders express uncertainty about whether the recent batch of economic data supports any further upside for the markets.

Following yesterday's disappointing fourth quarter GDP report, the Labor Department released a report before the start of trading showing a bigger than expected rebound by weekly jobless claims.

The Labor Department said initial jobless claims rose to 368,000 in the week ended January 26th, an increase of 38,000 from the previous week's unrevised figure of 330,000. Economists had been expecting jobless claims to climb to 350,000 after hitting a five-year low in the previous week.

While bigger than expected, Jennifer Lee, senior economist at BMO Capital, said the rebound was not too shocking, adding, "And it was encouraging that the bounceback did not completely erase the two weekly improvements."

Helping to offset the negative sentiment generated by the report was a separate report from the Institute for Supply Management - Chicago showing a notable improvement in business activity in the Chicago-area in the month of January.

The ISM Chicago said its Chicago business barometer climbed to 55.6 in January from a revised 50.0 in December, with a reading above 50 indicating growth.

The Commerce Department also released a report showed a substantial increase in personal income in December, although the jump was due in large part to accelerated dividend and bonus payments ahead of the year-end tax increases.

Among individual stocks, shares of Facebook (FB) have come under pressure after the social media giant reported sharply lower fourth quarter earnings. Facebook is currently down by 1.9 percent.

Dow Chemical (DOW) is also posting a notable loss after reporting adjusted fourth quarter earnings that fell short of analyst estimates.

On the other hand, shares of Qualcomm (QCOM) have surged up by 4.7 percent after the chip maker reported better than expected first quarter results and provided upbeat guidance.

Sector News

While most of the major sectors are showing only modest moves, considerable strength is visible among networking stocks. The NYSE Arca Networking Index has surged up by 1.8 percent, regaining some ground after ending the two previous sessions sharply lower.

Alcatel-Lucent (ALU), Ciena (CIEN), and Infinera (INFN) are turning in some of the networking sector's best performances.

On the other hand, gold stocks have come under pressure, with a notable decrease by the price of gold weighing on the sector. With gold for April delivery sliding $21.40 to $1,660.20 an ounce, the NYSE Arca Gold Bugs Index is down by 1.3 percent.

Housing stocks have also shown a notable move to the downside, dragging the Philadelphia Housing Sector Index down by 1 percent. M/I Homes (MHO) is leading the housing sector lower after reporting its fourth quarter results.

Other Markets

In overseas trading, stock markets across the Asia-Pacific region turned in a mixed performance during trading on Thursday. Japan's Nikkei 225 Index edged up by 0.2 percent, while Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index fell by 0.4 percent.

In the bond market, treasuries are seeing modest strength after coming under pressure in recent sessions. Subsequently, the yield on the benchmark ten-year note, which moves opposite of its price, is down by 1.8 basis points at 1.988 percent.




Friday preview
Spotlight on BT Group and Tate & Lyle
All eyes will be on BT Group and Tate & Lyle on Friday as the FTSE 100 companies post financial results.  British telecommunications company BT Group is expected to report a steady set of numbers when it unveils its third-quarter statement.

Analysts at Liberum Capital predict revenues excluding transit to be down by 5.5% to £4,512m, (consensus £4,485m), which compares to a decrease of 8.6% in the second quarter (-5.5% ex transit).

"In terms of surprises we would not rule out acceleration in cost control leading to an [earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortisation] beat but we also suspect that there may be some negative news around line provisioning that seems primarily down to the very wet weather, which could weigh on revenues," Lawrence Sugarman at Liberum Capital told The Economy News.

Sweeteners and food ingredients specialist Tate & Lyle also releases its third-quarter results after analysts at Investec this week cut its rating from 'buy' to 'hold'.

Investec reduced its forecasts on Monday ahead of the results, saying it's time to "pause for a breather" after shares have jumped 29% since mid-September.

Earlier this week, the company launched a website to enable partners to submit ideas to its research and development team for new ingredients and solutions for the food and beverage industries.

Q3
BT Group

IMS
Electrocomponents
Tate & Lyle

GM
Coms
ORA Capital Partners Ltd

FINAL DIVIDEND PAYMENT DATE
Baring Emerging Europe
Character Group
Standard Life European Private Equity Trust
Tracsis

INTERIM DIVIDEND PAYMENT DATE
Aveva Group
Bisichi Mining
Central Asia Metals
Dart Group
Doric Nimrod Air Two Ltd C Shs
KCOM Group
United Utilities Group

SPECIAL EX-DIVIDEND PAYMENT DATE
Central Asia Metals

QUARTELY PAYMENT DATE
Investors Capital Trust 'A' Shares
Investors Capital Trust 'B' Shares
Mercantile Investment Trust (The)
Torchmark Corp.
Verizon Communications

UK ECONOMIC ANNOUNCEMENTS
PMI Manufacturing (09:30)

INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC ANNOUNCEMENTS
PMI Manufacturing (GER) (08:55)
PMI Manufacturing (EU) (09:00)
Unemployment Rate (EU) (10:00)
Non-Farm Payrolls (US) (13:30)
Unemployment Rate (US) (13:30)
Auto Sales (US) (15:00)
Construction Spending (US) (15:00)
ISM Manufacturing (US) (15:00)
ISM Prices Paid (US) (15:00)
U. of Michigan Confidence (US) (15:00)

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