Wednesday, 9 January 2013

ADVFN III Evening Euro Markets Bulletin (January 9th., 2013).

ADVFN III Evening Euro Markets Bulletin
Daily world financial news Wednesday, 09 January 2013



London Market Report
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Index closes at highest level since 2008

    Market Movers
    techMARK 2,193.52 +0.91%
    FTSE 100 6,098.65 +0.74%
    FTSE 250 12,709.06 +0.59%
UK markets closed significantly higher on Wednesday, up 45 points equal to 11.41bn pounds, with the index closing at its highest level since May 22nd 2008.

The gains were led by banking stocks after UBS hiked its targets for the Lloyds, Barclays and RBS, saying 'the UK is over its experiment of combining fiscal and monetary austerity'.

The broker revised its price target on Lloyds to 60p from 50p, for Barclays to 315p from 255p and RBS to 410p.

This came in anticipation of an expected improvement in mortgage lending and a reduced need to raise capital after the Basel committee on banking supervision last Sunday eased financial institutions’ liquidity requirements.

The result, which has ‘read-across’ to other countries is that “Britain’s experiment of combining fiscal and monetary austerity may be over and the incoming Bank of England governor’s openness to monetary policy innovation may not even need to be tested if,” as UBS expects, banks return to lending.

On a more realistic note – sombre even - plenty of long-term policy challenges remain.

UK shop prices steady, food inflation still an issue
Shop price inflation remained unchanged at a 1.5% year-on-year pace in December, according to the latest data released today by the British Retail Consortium (BRC).

More specifically, food inflation fell to 4.1% in December from 4.6% in November. Non-food prices were broadly flat in December after falling 0.3% in November.

Meanwhile, the Recruitment and Employment Confederation's (REC) seasonally adjusted index of permanent staff placements fell to 53.2 in December from 56.0 in November. That was the highest since April 2011. Readings above 50 indicate growth compared to a month earlier.

UK trade gap narrowed in November
The UK's trade deficit closed in November as exports caught up slightly with imports, according to the Office for National Statistics.

The deficit on goods and services totalled £3.5bn in November, compared with £3.7bn in October. There was a deficit of £9.2bn on goods, partly offset by an estimated surplus of £5.7bn on services.

Income disparity 'biggest risk to global security'
The biggest single threat to global security in the next ten years is severe income disparity, according to the World Economic Forum’s annual Global Risks Report.

The survey of more than 1,000 experts from industry, government, academia and civil society, also found the risk that would cause the most damage - were it to happen - is major systemic financial failure.

Two risks appeared in the top five risk categories in terms of impact and likelihood – chronic fiscal imbalances and water supply crisis.

Sainsbury fails to meet lowered expectations
Sainsbury may have enjoyed a record-breaking Christmas and increased its market share, but investors did not share the firm's celebratory mood. The company's shares were down as investors latched onto news that like-for-like sales growth of 0.9% in the third quarter had dropped markedly from the 1.9% rise in the previous three months. The firm also warned its festive bonanza would probably not last into the new year.

“We suspect Sainsbury will struggle to outperform in 2013 as Tesco continues its fight back and there is some margin vulnerability as momentum slows,” Seymour Pierce analysts said in reaction.

Aerospace components engineer Meggitt announced on Wednesday that its Chief Executive, Terry Twigger, has said he intends to retire from the role and the board is set to replace him with Stephen Young, who has been Finance Director of Meggitt since 2004. This morning Bank of America raised its target on the stock from 430p to 470p and upgraded it from neutral to buy, prompting a strong rise in the share price.

Mining company Xstrata climbed after the Bank of America Merrill Lynch anticipated the merged Glencore-Xstrata would produce net earnings of more than $7bn per year by 2014, buoyed by coal and copper.

Aviva was lower over last night announcing that it had disposed of its remaining 19.4% stake in Delta Lloyd at a discount of 1.6% to the insurance group's closing price. The company is planning to reduce its underperforming businesses by a quarter.

Severn Trent dropped after Nomura cut its target on the stock from 1,645p to 1,550p, and retained its neutral rating.

House builder Galliford Try announced that it remains on track to meet its full year expectations and that half year profit is ahead of its targets.

Designer brand Ted Baker announced a solid rise in sales over the festive period as Chairman Robert Breare confirmed he will step down after more than 11 years in the role. David Bernstein, currently Senior Independent Non-Executive Director, will succeed Breare with immediate effect.

Greggs sees its full year results broadly in line, although ‘tough’ trading conditions have continued into 2013.

Yesterday evening, after the close, Shire’s (another one of yesterday's big gainers) Chief Executive Officer stated that he is increasingly confident of reaching double digit full year earnings growth and on meeting current consensus earnings expectations for 2013.

African Barrick Gold (ABG) was recovering after yesterday dropping on the news that Canadian miner Barrick Gold abandoned plans to sell its majority stake in ABG to a Chinese buyer. Today's gains came despite Deutsche Bank reducing its target from 520p to 490p and Nomura cutting its target from 525p to 435p and downgrading the stock from buy to neutral.

Meanwhile, restaurant and pub operator Restaurant Group fell after it cautioned that trading conditions in 2012 are likely to persist in 2013.  UBM was also lower after Goldman Sachs cut the stock to buy from conviction buy, and reduced its target from 975p to 910p.

Morgan Stanley downgrades BSkyB
Lastly, analysts at Bank of America have raised their view on shares of GKN and Meggitt to buy.  Morgan Stanley downgraded British Sky Broadcasting to equalweight from overweight.

AIM/Small Cap Report
FTSE 100 - Risers
Lloyds Banking Group (LLOY) 53.37p +4.94%
Royal Bank of Scotland Group (RBS) 349.90p +3.83%
Meggitt (MGGT) 425.00p +3.79%
Wood Group (John) (WG.) 774.00p +3.27%
Standard Chartered (STAN) 1,657.50p +3.17%
Evraz (EVR) 279.70p +2.87%
Barclays (BARC) 294.75p +2.63%
Kazakhmys (KAZ) 825.50p +2.36%
Shire Plc (SHP) 2,008.00p +2.29%
ARM Holdings (ARM) 827.00p +2.29%

FTSE 100 - Fallers
Sainsbury (J) (SBRY) 329.20p -2.89%
Aviva (AV.) 373.70p -2.15%
British Sky Broadcasting Group (BSY) 778.00p -1.83%
British Land Co (BLND) 568.50p -1.47%
Weir Group (WEIR) 1,912.00p -1.29%
Severn Trent (SVT) 1,578.00p -1.13%
Reed Elsevier (REL) 640.50p -1.08%
Polymetal International (POLY) 1,135.00p -1.05%
Whitbread (WTB) 2,442.00p -0.81%
Unilever (ULVR) 2,393.00p -0.75%

FTSE 250 - Risers
Centamin (DI) (CEY) 49.98p +13.13%
African Barrick Gold (ABG) 380.00p +7.92%
Travis Perkins (TPK) 1,167.00p +4.38%
RPS Group (RPS) 228.50p +4.34%
Cable & Wireless Communications (CWC) 37.78p +3.65%
Kenmare Resources (KMR) 34.00p +3.63%
KCOM Group (KCOM) 75.00p +3.45%
Savills (SVS) 480.00p +3.23%
Ophir Energy (OPHR) 551.50p +3.18%
Balfour Beatty (BBY) 290.00p +3.02%

FTSE 250 - Fallers
Restaurant Group (RTN) 364.00p -4.76%
FirstGroup (FGP) 197.90p -3.46%
JD Sports Fashion (JD.) 675.00p -2.17%
Enterprise Inns (ETI) 100.90p -2.13%
BBA Aviation (BBA) 225.50p -1.96%
UBM (UBM) 720.50p -1.71%
Stagecoach Group (SGC) 304.40p -1.65%
St. Modwen Properties (SMP) 237.20p -1.62%
Debenhams (DEB) 106.40p -1.57%
Spectris (SXS) 2,015.00p -1.52%


Europe Market Report
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European Markets Climbed After Positive Report From Alcoa

The European markets finished in positive territory Wednesday. Banks were among the best performing stocks of the session. Investors were encouraged by the fourth quarter profit reported by aluminum producer Alcoa, which is viewed as the start of the earnings reporting season in the United States. Alcoa's earnings were in line with expectations, while sales topped estimates. The company also expects global aluminum demand to grow 7 percent this year, up from 6 percent in 2012.

Policymakers of the Bank of England are set to adopt a "wait and see" stance at the start of the year as policymakers see little compelling case for another stimulus.

The Monetary Policy Committee headed by Mervyn King is expected to keep the size of its bond buying program unchanged at GBP 375 billion and the interest rates unchanged at record low 0.50 percent on Thursday. The announcement is due at 7.00 am ET.

The Euro Stoxx 50 index of eurozone bluechip stocks increased by 0.57 percent, while the Stoxx Europe 50 index, which includes some major U.K. companies, added 0.75 percent.

The DAX of Germany climbed by 0.32 percent and the CAC 40 of France advanced by 0.31 percent. The FTSE 100 of the U.K. rose by 0.74 percent and the SMI of Switzerland gained 1.09 percent.

In Frankfurt, Commerzbank gained 3.07 percent and Deutsche Bank added 1.45 percent. Air Berlin, Germany's second-largest airline, increased its capacity utilization rate in December 2012 by 3.1 percentage points to 77.82 percent. The stock climbed by 4.37 percent.

ProSiebenSat.1 Media rose by 3.56 percent. Goldman Sachs added the stock to its ''Conviction Buy" list. Machinery & equipment firm Rational advanced by 2.23 percent. Berenberg upgraded the stock to ''Hold'' from ''Sell.'' Kuka, which received a downgrade, fell by 0.94 percent.

Lanxess dropped by 2.20 percent, after Citigroup downgraded the stock to ''Sell'' from ''Neutral.'' Insurer Allianz decreased by 1.87 percent, following a downgrade at Credit Suisse. PATRIZIA Immobilien declined by 2.88 percent, after JPMorgan reduced its rating on the stock.

In Paris, Societe Generale and Credit Agricole rose 3.43 percent and 4.63 percent, respectively. However, BNP Paribas fell by 0.12 percent. Vivendi increased by 0.06 percent, after Goldman Sachs downgraded the stock to ''Neutral'' from ''Buy.''

Renault finished up by 0.83 percent. Peugeot gained 1.58 percent, after stating that annual sales of assembled vehicles and CKD units fell 16.5 percent.

CGG Veritas fell by 4.42 percent, after Goldman Sachs downgraded it to "Neutral" from "Buy." LVMH Moët Hennessy Louis Vuitton dropped by 0.97 percent, after Credit Suisse downgraded it to "Neutral" from "Outperform."

In London, Lloyds Banking surged by 4.94 percent. UBS upgraded the stock to ''Buy'' from ''Neutral.'' Standard Chartered advanced by 3.17 percent. Barclays climbed by 2.63 percent and Royal Bank of Scotland added 3.83 percent.

Meggitt increased by 3.79 percent, after Merrill Lynch upgraded it to "Buy" from "Neutral." J. Sainsbury dropped by 2.89 percent. The company reported third-quarter sales. Aviva fell by 2.15 percent, after selling its remaining stake in Dutch insurer Delta Lloyd.

AMEC finished up by 1.55 percent, after Goldman Sachs upgraded it to "Buy" from "Neutral." John Wood Group advanced by 3.27 percent, after Goldman Sachs upgraded it to "Conviction Buy" from "Neutral." Richemont gained 4.51 percent in Zurich, after Credit Suisse upgraded it to "Outperform" from "Neutral."

Germany's industrial production rose 0.2 percent in November from a month ago, the Federal Ministry of Economics and technology showed Wednesday. Although it reversed a 2 percent fall logged in October, the growth rate was weaker than the 1 percent rise forecast by economists.

The U.K. visible trade deficit narrowed to GBP 9.2 billion in November from GBP 9.5 billion in October, the Office for National Statistics reported Wednesday. The deficit was seen at GBP 9 billion.

British shop price inflation remained at 1.5 percent for a third consecutive month in December, but food inflation eased noticeably, a report from the British Retail Consortium (BRC) showed Wednesday. Economists expected the shop price index to rise 1.7 percent year-on-year. Food inflation fell to 4.1 percent in December from 4.6 percent in November.


US Market Report
Earnings Optimism Leads To Strength On Wall Street

With quarterly results from Alcoa (AA) generating some optimism about the outlook for corporate earnings, stocks have moved mostly higher during trading on Wednesday after ending the two previous sessions in the red.

The major averages have moved roughly sideways in recent trading, hovering firmly in positive territory. The Dow is up 83.69 points or 0.6 percent at 13,412.54, the Nasdaq is up 17.49 points or 0.6 percent at 3,109.30 and the S&P 500 is up 6.21 points or 0.4 percent at 1,463.36.

The strength on Wall Street is partly due to a positive reaction to quarterly results from Alcoa, which unofficially kicked off the earnings season after the close of trading on Tuesday.

Alcoa reported fourth quarter adjusted earnings of $0.06 per share compared to a year ago loss of $0.03 per share, matching analyst estimates.

The aluminum giant also reported fourth quarter revenues that came in above expectations and forecast a 7 percent increase in aluminum demand in 2013.

While shares of Alcoa rose as much as 2.5 percent at the open and reached a three-month high, the stock has given back some ground since then. Alcoa is currently up by 0.7 percent.

The news from Alcoa has generated some optimism about the unfolding earnings season, although traders still seem reluctant to add to the substantial rally that was seen last week.

A lack of major U.S. economic data may also be keeping some traders on the sidelines, with today reflecting the third straight quiet day on the economic front.

Among individual stocks, shares of Clearwire (CLWR) are moving sharply higher after the wireless broadband operator received an unsolicited takeover bid from Dish Network (DISH) valuing the company at $3.30 per share.

Social media giant Facebook (FB) is also posting a strong gain after the company issued a mysterious invitation to journalists to "Come and see what we're building." Some are speculating that the company plans to unveil a Facebook phone.

On the other hand, shares of Apollo Group (APOL) have come under pressure after the parent of the University of Phoenix reported first quarter earnings that fell year-over-year amid a continued drop in new enrollment.

Sector News

Housing stocks have shown a strong move to the upside over the course of the trading day, driving the Philadelphia Housing Sector Index up by 1.6 percent. With the gain, the index has reached its best intraday level in well over five years.

Hovnanian Enterprises (HOV) and M/I Homes (MHO) are turning in two of the housing sector's best performances, advancing by 5.3 percent and 4.2 percent, respectively.

Considerable strength has also emerged among defense stocks, as reflected by the 1.3 percent gain being posted by the Philadelphia Defense Sector Index. Boeing (BA) is posting a notable gain after falling sharply in the two previous sessions.

health insurance, railroad, and computer hardware stocks are also seeing significant strength, while most of the other major sectors are showing more modest moves.

Other markets

In overseas trading, stock markets across the Asia-Pacific region moved mostly higher on Wednesday. Japan's Nikkei 225 Index advanced by 0.7 percent, while Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index ended the day up by 0.5 percent.
In the bond market, treasuries have pulled back near the unchanged line after moving modestly higher in early trading. Subsequently, the yield on the benchmark ten-year note, which moves opposite of its price, is currently unchanged at 1.871 percent.


Thursday preview
Tesco unveils trading results
Tesco will be on everyone’s lips Thursday as the world’s third largest retailer releases a trading update.  The supermarket giant was falling 0.80% to 348.65p on Wednesday afternoon ahead of the announcement.

That, despite a hike in shares in the lead up to trading results from other major retailers including Sainsbury which boasted it would emerge as a “clear winner” in Christmas sales despite reporting slowed growth over the holidays.

However, according to Kantar Worldpanel, Tesco raised its core grocery sales ahead of Sainsbury, Asda and Morrison in the lead up to Christmas.

The market researcher said Tesco’s cash sales grew 4.2% in the four weeks to December 23rd, confirming the group led the UK majors for the second period running.

The grocer saw a 6.7 % jump in food and drink sales.

Asda’s sales grew 3.7 % while Sainsbury rose 3.3% and Morrison fell 0.6%.

TRADING ANNOUNCEMENTS
Bwin.party Digital Entertainment, Goals Soccer Centres, Hays, Hilton Food Group, Rathbone Brothers, SIG, Tesco

IMS
Hilton Food Group, JD Sports, XP Power

INTERIM DIVIDEND PAYMENT DATE
Caledonia Investments, Creston, Mckay Securities, Morgan Crucible Co, Whitbread

QUARTERLY PAYMENT DATE
Land Securities Group, XP Power Ltd. (DI)

INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC ANNOUNCEMENTS
Spanish and Italian Treasury debt auctions
ECB Interest Rate (EU) (12:45)
Weekly initial unemployment claims (US) (13:30)
Wholesale inventories (US) (15:00)

Q4
Sandvine Corp.

GMS
Capital & Regional

FINALS
Sandvine Corp.

IMSS
Marks & Spencer Group

EGMS
Bridge Energy Asa, NetDimensions Holding Ltd. (DI)

AGMS
Baronsmead VCT, Baronsmead VCT 2, Cardiff Property

UK ECONOMIC ANNOUNCEMENTS
MPC policy decision


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