Thursday, 31 January 2013

ADVFN III Morning Euro Markets Bulletin (January 31, 2013).

ADVFN III Morning Euro Markets Bulletin
Daily world financial news Thursday, 31 January 2013


London Market Report
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FTSE 100 slips on mixed corporate earnings

    Market Movers
    techMARK 2,252.68 -0.62%
    FTSE 100 6,299.61 -0.37%
    FTSE 250 13,025.19 -0.16%
The FTSE 100 slumped in early trading on Thursday with heavyweight stocks AstraZeneca, Diageo, Shell and Vedanta providing a drag after disappointing the market with results.

Stocks were also tracking US and Asian markets lower after yesterday's news that the US contracted in the fourth quarter of 2012. The world's largest economy shrank by 0.1% in the last three months of last year, a stark contrast to the 3.1% growth seen in the third quarter. Forecasts were for a 1.1% expansion.

Meanwhile, the Federal Open Market Committee said last night in its January statement that it would keep rates unchanged and continue to purchase securities at a $85bn-a-month pace.

The Fed said “with appropriate policy accommodation, economic growth will proceed at a moderate pace”. Policy-makers also expect the jobless rate to "gradually decline" towards levels constant with its mandate.

Analyst Michael Gapen from Barclays Research said: "Given the ongoing volatility in economic activity, fiscal policy driven uncertainty, and the desire to see a substantial and sustained improvement in labor market conditions, we continue to expect that the Fed will purchase assets through year-end, with some tapering of the rate of purchases in the second half of the year if growth and labour markets improve in the third and fourth quarter as we expect."
Markets digest barrage of earnings
Pharma titan AstraZeneca was a heavy faller this morning after reporting that full-year revenue fell 15% due to a loss of exclusivity on several brands.

Consumer goods giant Diageo was in the red despite posting profits in line with market expectations. The Guinness, Smirnoff and Johnnie Walker owner reported a 9.0% organic operating profit growth for the half year ended December 31st.

Oil giant Royal Dutch Shell was lower after full-year profits slipped slightly as a result of oil price volatility.

A third-quarter production report from Vedanta disappointed despite the company saying that oil and gas output rose 21% and mined metal and silver increased strongly.

Leading the risers was Kazakh copper-focused miner Kazakhmys which said that it had hit production targets across all asset classes in 2012.

Broadcaster and broadband group BSkyB gained after beating profit forecasts in the first half, helped by a surge in customer numbers. The firm also hiked its dividend by a fifth.

Engineering firm Babcock edged higher after saying it has traded well in first half and is confident of meeting expectations for the full year.

Utilities group SSE rose after saying that it is on course to deliver increases in both adjusted profits and its dividend this year despite a slight fall in the number of customer accounts during the first nine months.

AIM/Small Cap Report
FTSE 100 - Risers
Kazakhmys (KAZ) 751.50p +2.11%
British Sky Broadcasting Group (BSY) 824.50p +1.79%
Rolls-Royce Holdings (RR.) 952.50p +1.06%
CRH (CRH) 1,360.00p +1.04%
Petrofac Ltd. (PFC) 1,631.00p +0.99%
SSE (SSE) 1,429.00p +0.92%
Babcock International Group (BAB) 1,041.00p +0.87%
Severn Trent (SVT) 1,635.00p +0.74%
Amec (AMEC) 1,082.00p +0.56%
United Utilities Group (UU.) 744.00p +0.54%

FTSE 100 - Fallers
AstraZeneca (AZN) 3,023.00p -4.11%
Antofagasta (ANTO) 1,142.00p -2.31%
Aberdeen Asset Management (ADN) 400.50p -1.60%
Royal Dutch Shell 'B' (RDSB) 2,326.50p -1.50%
Royal Dutch Shell 'A' (RDSA) 2,273.50p -1.39%
Royal Bank of Scotland Group (RBS) 343.10p -1.18%
Barclays (BARC) 298.60p -1.13%
Kingfisher (KGF) 271.00p -1.06%
Prudential (PRU) 963.00p -1.03%
Marks & Spencer Group (MKS) 379.50p -0.94%

FTSE 250 - Risers
Lonmin (LMI) 337.20p +7.05%
Mitchells & Butlers (MAB) 311.10p +5.10%
JD Sports Fashion (JD.) 769.50p +4.77%
BTG (BTG) 333.30p +3.99%
Centamin (DI) (CEY) 57.00p +2.52%
Bumi (BUMI) 345.00p +1.77%
ITE Group (ITE) 257.90p +1.74%
William Hill (WMH) 388.00p +1.49%
Unite Group (UTG) 279.00p +1.20%
Bank of Georgia Holdings (BGEO) 1,265.00p +1.20%

FTSE 250 - Fallers
Enterprise Inns (ETI) 92.05p -6.74%
Investec (INVP) 457.00p -2.75%
Telecom Plus (TEP) 950.00p -2.31%
Afren (AFR) 141.80p -2.27%
Imagination Technologies Group (IMG) 486.80p -2.23%
Jupiter Fund Management (JUP) 318.80p -2.12%
Brewin Dolphin Holdings (BRW) 210.00p -2.10%
Savills (SVS) 490.00p -1.76%
Henderson Group (HGG) 154.60p -1.53%
Heritage Oil (HOIL) 200.90p -1.52%

UK Event Calendar
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Barrage of FTSE 100 companies unveils results
FTSE 100 companies are set to storm Thursday with a wave of financial results.

UK pharmaceutical giant AstraZeneca will unveil its full-year statements. The drug company is expected to show a slump in revenues due to patent expirations.

However, investors will be keen to hear what Astra’s new Chief Executive Pascal Soriot says about the company’s outlook.

They will also be closely watching full-year results from oil and gas company Royal Dutch Shell. Consensus forecasts see a 4.0% increase in earnings per share and revenues of £281bn.

The company was making headlines Wednesday as a court threw out a lawsuit brought by a group of Nigerian farmers over an oil leak, claiming local subsidiary Shell Nigeria was solely responsible.

Broadcaster and broadband group British Sky Broadcasting Group also releases its first half results with analysts expecting good cash generation and operational delivery. Sales are expected to rise 4.6% to £3,517m helped by price rises and wholesale strength.

Speaking last week ahead of the results, Investec reiterated its ‘buy’ rating for the stock, saying that its valuation looks at the low end against the wider UK media sector.

“While pay TV sub growth remains modest, total product sales, and triple play/economies of scale boost overall sales, margin and earnings,” Investec said.

FINALS
AstraZeneca
Hiwave Technologies
Kcell Joint Stock Co GDR (Reg S)
Royal Dutch Shell 'A'
Royal Dutch Shell 'B'

INTERIMS
British Sky Broadcasting Group
Haynes Publishing Group
Hillshire Brands Company (The)
Rank Group

Q4
Kcell Joint Stock Co GDR (Reg S)
Royal Dutch Shell 'A'
Royal Dutch Shell 'B'

TRADING ANNOUNCEMENTS
Gem Diamonds Ltd. (DI)

IMS
Brewin Dolphin Holdings
Enterprise Inns
SSE

AGM
Artilium
Enterprise Inns
Euromoney Institutional Investor
ITE Group
JPMorgan Asian Inv Trust
Lonmin
Mitchells & Butlers
Weather Lottery (The)

EGM
Alpha Bank GDR (Reg S) USD


FINAL DIVIDEND PAYMENT DATE
Alternative Networks
European Investment Trust
Lowland Investment Co
Scottish Oriental Smaller Companies Trust
Topps Tiles
WH Smith

INTERIM DIVIDEND PAYMENT DATE
Albion Income & Growth VCT
F&C Global Smaller Companies
Jupiter Second Split Trust Geared Gwth Shares

SPECIAL DIVIDEND PAYMENT DATE
European Investment Trust

QUARTERLY PAYMENT DATE
British Assets Trust
F&C Commercial Property Trust Ltd.
JP Morgan Chase & Co
Middlefield Canadian Income PCC

INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC ANNOUNCEMENTS
Balance of Payments (GER) (07:00)
Retail Sales (GER) (07:00)
Unemployment Rate (GER) (08:55)
International Reserves (EU) (11:00)
Continuing Claims (US) (13:30)
Initial Jobless Claims (US) (13:30)
Personal Consumption Expenditures (US) (13:30)
Personal Income (US) (13:30)
Personal Spending (US) (13:30)
Chicago PMI (US) (13:45)
Bloomberg Consumer Confidence (US) (14:45)

US Market Report
Stocks Close Modestly Lower On Fed Statement, GDP Data

After showing a lack of direction throughout much of the trading day on Wednesday, stocks moved modestly lower in the latter part of the session following the Federal Reserve's latest monetary policy announcement.

The major averages climbed off their lows going into the close but still ended the day in the red. The Dow fell 44.00 points or 0.3 percent to 13,910.42, the Nasdaq dipped 11.35 points or 0.4 percent to 3,142.31 and the S&P 500 slid 5.88 points or 0.4 percent to 1,501.96.

The modest weakness that emerged on Wall Street came after the Federal Reserve said growth in economic activity has paused in recent months due largely to weather-related disruptions and other transitory factors.

The Fed subsequently announced its widely expected decision to keep interest rates unchanged and maintain its asset purchase program as part an effort to stimulate the economy.

The central bank also said it expects to keep its target for the federal funds rate in an exceptionally low range as long as the unemployment rate remains above 6.5 percent.

The comments from the Fed were backed up by a Commerce Department report showing that GDP unexpectedly fell by 0.1 percent in the fourth quarter after surging up by 3.1 percent in the third quarter.

The modest drop came as a surprise to economists, who had expected GDP to increase by about 1.0 percent. The decrease also reflected the first drop in GDP since the second quarter of 2009.

However, economists suggested that the data was not as bad as it appeared, noting that the drop in GDP was largely due to a substantial decrease in defense spending.

Paul Ashworth, Chief U.S. Economist at Capital Economics, said, "Frankly, this is the best looking contraction in GDP you'll ever see."

Upbeat jobs data also helped to offset the negative sentiment generated by the GDP report, with payroll processor ADP reporting a bigger than expected increase in private sector employment in the month of January.

ADP said private sector employment increased by 192,000 jobs in January compared to economist estimates for an increase of about 172,000 jobs.

Despite the pullback by the broader markets, Amazon (AMZN) held on to a strong gain even though the online retailer reported weaker than expected fourth quarter results. Traders responded positively to the company's increase in sales and North American operating margin.

Aerospace giant Boeing (BA) also ended the day higher after reporting fourth quarter earnings that fell year-over-year but came in above analyst estimates. The company also said its 2013 guidance assumes no significant financial impact from the grounding of its 787 Dreamliner jet.

Sector News

Networking stocks showed a substantial move to the downside over the course of the trading day, dragging the NYSE Arca Networking Index down by 2 percent. With the loss, the index pulled back further off the eight-month closing high it set last Friday.

Alcatel-Lucent (ALU) helped to lead the networking sector lower, falling by 8.2 percent, while Infinera (INFN) and Ciena (CIEN) also posted notable losses.

Considerable weakness was also visible among transportation stocks, as reflected by the 1.5 percent loss posted by the Dow Jones Transportation Average. Railroad stocks turned in some of the sector's worst performances on the day.

Housing, steel, and biotechnology stocks also came under pressure as the day progressed, contributing to the pullback by the broader markets.

Other Markets

In overseas trading, stock markets across the Asia-Pacific region moved mostly higher during trading on Wednesday. Japan's Nikkei 225 Index surged up by 2.3 percent, while Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index advanced by 0.7 percent.

In the bond market, treasuries ended the day modestly lower but well off their worst levels of the session. As a result, the yield on the benchmark ten-year note, which moves opposite of its price, edged up by 1.8 basis points to 2.006 percent after reaching a high of 2.037 percent.

Looking Ahead

Earnings news is likely to be in focus on Thursday, with Facebook (FB), Qualcomm (QCOM), Electronic Arts (EA) and ConocoPhillips (COP) among the companies releasing their quarterly results after the close of today's trading.

Additionally, Aetna (AET), Dow Chemical (DOW), MasterCard (MA), Hershey (HSY), UPS (UPS), and Whirlpool (WHR) are among the slew of companies due to report their quarterly results before the start of trading on Thursday.

Traders are also likely to keep an eye on reports on weekly jobless claims, personal income and spending, and Chicago-area business activity.

Nonetheless, trading activity may be somewhat subdued ahead of the release of the Labor Department's closely watched monthly jobs report on Friday.


Thursday newspaper round-up
Barclays, Shell, Great Western...
The man responsible for setting boardroom pay at Barclays was hammered by MPs and peers yesterday and warned not to pay a one million-pound bonus to the new chief executive. Sir John Sunderland, one of Britain’s most eminent industrialists and a for- mer CBI president, was hit by a barrage of hostile questioning and accused of a significant misjudgment in approving a 2.7 million-pound bonus to Bob Diamond, the bank’s former chief, last year. He was also told that the embattled bank’s claim to have undergone a big shift in culture and standards since the Libor scandal last summer would be dismissed as PR spin if it pushed on with plans for a big bonus for the new chief, Antony Jenkins.

Sir John’s grilling by the Parliamentary Commission on Banking Standards came hours after an explosive written statement from his predecessor as chairman of the Barclays remuneration committee, Alison Carnwath, who broke her silence to say that she had recommended Mr Diamond get no bonus at all last year, but received no support from any other board member. [The Times]

A judge in the Netherlands has ordered Shell to pay compensation to a Nigerian farmer whose livelihood was wrecked by oil spilling from a well abandoned by the Anglo-Dutch group. It is the first time that a court outside Nigeria has ordered Shell to pay out for its part in causing pollution in the Niger Delta and the ruling leaves it vulnerable to more claims from other victims. The Delta has been ravaged by oil spills for decades. Shell, the largest oil firm in Nigeria, has blamed the pollution on thieves haphazardly siphoning oil from its pipelines, but its argument has failed to satisfy the farmers and Friends of the Earth, which took the fight for compensation to The Hague, where the oil frim has its headquarters. [The Times]

The Government is expected to scrap the bidding competition for another major rail franchise, just months after it pulled the contract for the West Coast Main Line, costing the taxpayer more than £50m. Bidders for the Great Western line are braced for an announcement on Thursday by the Department for Transport (DfT) that FirstGroup, which currently runs the services connecting London to Bristol and Cardiff, has been awarded an extension to its contract. [The Telegraph]

Mothercare's UK boss is to leave the company as the parent and baby specialist retailer battles to turn around falling sales. The departure of Mike Logue comes as Mothercare Australia, a business in which the UK-listed company owns a minority stake, called in administrators. The collapse of the Australian business is a blow for Mothercare as its international division has been driving growth in the last few years amid disappointing trading at home. Underlying UK sales slumped 5.9% in the 13 weeks to 12 January while international sales rose 12%. Online sales edged up just 0.9% during the period as the company failed to capitalise on shoppers switching to the internet.[The Guardian]

Facebook’s aggressive mobile advertising push through the presidential election and holiday shopping season helped the social network report its first quarterly revenue growth since becoming a public company in May but still left investors wanting more. Revenues for the fourth quarter grew 40 per cent to $1.59bn compared with the same period last year. Revenue growth was flat for the previous two quarters and had declined the quarter before that. [Financial Times]

A former tax chief accused of overseeing sweetheart deals that let big companies off millions of pounds in tax has found a new role – protecting HSBC from dealing with tax cheats. David Hartnett, the former chief executive of HM Revenue & Customs, is to join a committee of the great and the good set up to advise the bank on how to avoid getting entangled with tax evaders, terrorists and drug dealers. It follows the $1.9bn (£1.2bn) fine the bank was forced to pay to United States watchdogs for breaching rules on money laundering that allowed the bank to be used as a conduit for a river of money from drug cartels. [The Independent]

The Bank of England’s flagship scheme to increase the flow of credit to companies has come under renewed fire after figures yesterday showed lending continued to shrink last month. The Bank said net lending to businesses fell by £2.1 billion in December, following a £2.5bn contraction the previous month, prompting calls for the UK government to do more to prop up the ailing economy. [The Scotsman]

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