Friday, 4 January 2013

ADVFN III World Daily Markets Bulletin (January 4, 2013).

ADVFN III World Daily Markets Bulletin
Daily world financial news Supplied by advfn.com


US Market
Stocks Turning In A Lackluster Performance In Early Trading

Stocks are showing a lack of direction in early trading on Friday, as traders seem reluctant to make any significant moves. The major averages are lingering near the unchanged line after ending the previous session moderately lower.

The major averages are currently turning in a mixed performance, with the Nasdaq posting a slim loss. While the Nasdaq is down 1.81 points or 0.1 percent at 3,098.76, the Dow is up 13.63 points or 0.1 percent at 13,404.99 and the S&P 500 is up 2.23 points or 0.2 percent at 1,461.60.

The choppy trading on Wall Street comes following the release of a report from the Labor Department showing that U.S. employment increased in line with economist estimates in the month of December.

The report showed that non-farm payroll employment increased by 155,000 jobs in December following an upwardly revised increase of 161,000 jobs in November.

Economists had expected employment to increase by about 155,000 jobs compared to the addition of 146,000 jobs originally reported for the previous month.

The Labor Department also said the unemployment rate came in at 7.8 percent in December, unchanged from the previous month's revised figure.

While the jobs data was relatively upbeat in light of the uncertainty about the fiscal cliff, the job growth was not strong enough to inspire further buying following the rally seen earlier in the week.

Traders also continue to digest yesterday's release of the minutes of the latest Federal Reserve meeting, which suggested that the central bank could end its quantitative easing program earlier than anticipated.

Most of the major sectors are showing only modest moves, although notable strength has emerged among healthcare provider stocks. The Morgan Stanley Healthcare Provider Index has risen by 1.5 percent, reaching a record intraday high.

Networking and oil service stocks are also seeing early strength, while gold stocks have moved to the downside amid a sharp drop by the price of the precious metal.

In overseas trading, stock markets across the Asia-Pacific region turned in a mixed performance on Friday. While Japan's Nikkei 225 Index surged up by 2.8 percent in its first trading day of the new year, Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index fell by 0.3 percent.

Meanwhile, the major European markets have all moved to the upside on the day. The U.K.'s FTSE 100 Index has risen by 0.4 percent, while the German DAX Index and the French CAC 40 Index have both edged up by 0.1 percent.

In the bond market, treasuries have moved moderately lower, extending a recent move to the downside. Subsequently, the yield on the benchmark ten-year note, which moves opposite of its price, is up by 2 basis points at 1.919 percent.
Canadian Market
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TSX Flat At Open Friday

Bay Street stocks opened marginally lower Friday amid selling in gold stocks, with the S&P/TSX Composite Index slipping 2.73 points or 0.02 percent to 12,467.31.

The Global Gold Index lost close to 2 percent amid a slump in bullion prices. Royal Gold, Agnico-Eagle Mines, Allied Nevada Gold and Detour Gold were down around 2 percent each

Among base-metals stocks, Inmet Mining slipped nearly 1 percent, while Teck Resources and First Quantum Minerals  were up around 0.50 percent each.

In the oil patch, Lundin Petroleum was down close to 3 percent.

In the financial space, TD Bank  was up about 1 percent. Fairfax Financial Holdings edged up 0.25 percent after declaring a dividend of $10.00 per share.

The price of crude oil was extending losses Friday morning as traders await cues from the official inventories data from the EIA, due out later today. Today during trading hours, the EIA will release its US crude oil inventories report for the weekended December 28. Analysts expect crude oil inventories to dip one million barrels and gasoline stocks to add 2.3 million barrels last week. Crude for February shed $0.79 to $92.13 a barrel.

The price of gold slipped back near a five-month low Friday morning as the US dollar was extending gains versus a basket of currencies amid the release of jobs data. Gold for February lost $31.00 to $1,643.60 an ounce.

In economic news, Statistics Canada said the economy created 40,000 jobs in December, the fourth increase in five months. December's increase was all in full-time work. The unemployment rate declined 0.1 percentage points to 7.1 percent, the lowest in four years. Economists expected a modest 5,000 job creations and unemployment rate to come in at 7.3 percent.
European Market
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European Markets Fall On Stimulus Cut Concerns

The European markets are in negative territory on Friday, as markets globally were upset by indications that policymakers in the U.S. would probably end their $85 billion monthly bond-purchase program before year-end. The U.S. futures are mixed ahead of the key jobs data.

According to the minutes of the Fed Reserve's most recent policy making meeting, voting members were concerned about the Fed's ballooning balance sheet. However, the Fed continued to believe that its asset purchase plan should remain in place for at least the next few months.

Some members of the rate-setting Federal Open Market Committee thought asset buying would be warranted though most of 2013. A smaller number of officials project that the Fed should be able to end the program well before December.

Retail sales in Germany topped expectations in November as higher income expectations and unemployment that is close to a two-decade low boosted consumer spending.

The Eurozone downturn eased further at the end of 2012, as rates of contraction in economic output and new business slowed, final data from Markit Economics showed. Meanwhile, the French service sector contracted at a faster pace in December.

The Euro Stoxx 50 index of eurozone bluechip stocks is losing 0.25 percent, while the Stoxx Europe 50 index, which includes some major U.K. companies, is dropping 0.11 percent.

The French CAC 40 is declining 0.5 percent while the German DAX is losing 0.2 percent. The UK's FTSE 100 and Switzerland's SMI are marginally down.

In Frankfurt, chemicals firm Lanxess is declining 3.2 percent. Tire maker Continental and chipmaker Infineon Technologies are losing around 1.7 percent each. Steel manufacturer ThyssenKrupp and sports goods giant Adidas are also notably lower.

Merck is falling 0.9 percent after Nomura cut the stock to ''Neutral'' from ''Buy.'' Commerzbank and Deutsche Bank are in positive territory.

Sky Deutschland is gaining 2.3 percent. The company reportedly reached an agreement with Deutsche Telekom to offer Sky on its Entertain digital TV system.

In Paris, metal fabrication firm Vallourec is declining 2.1 percent. Media house Vivendi and oil & gas services firm Technip are falling 1.7 percent each.

Credit Agricole, BNP Paribas and Societe Generale are in negative territory. Bucking the trend, Gemalto is rising 1.4 percent. EADS, EDF and Carrefour are in the green.

In London, Fresnillo is declining 5.7 percent, after the silver producer reportedly received a broker downgrade. Randgold Resources is falling 3.1 percent and Polymetal International is dropping 3 percent. On the other hand, BP is gaining 1.4 percent. Standard Life and British American Tobacco are gaining notably.

Swiss Re is falling 0.3 percent in Zurich. The insurer structured and placed $270 million of notes issued by Lakeside Re III Ltd., covering North American earthquake risk on behalf of Zurich Insurance Group.

A significantly better-than-expected ADP employment report helped to limit the downside to some extent. The Dow and the S&P 500 slipped about 0.2 percent each, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq fell 0.4 percent
Asia Market
Asian Stocks Drift Lower On Fed Minutes

Asian stocks fell broadly on Friday on speculation the U.S. Federal Reserve may end its $85bn monthly bond buying program earlier than expected.

According to minutes of the Fed's last meeting, "a few members expressed the view that ongoing asset purchases would likely be warranted until about the end of 2013" while "several others thought that it would probably be appropriate to slow or to stop purchases well before the end of 2013, citing concerns about financial stability or the size of the balance sheet".

Investors also awaited U.S. employment data due later in the global day, with analysts expecting the report to show a gain of 155,000 jobs in December, while the unemployment rate is expected to tick back up to 7.8 percent after falling to a nearly four-year low of 7.7 percent in November.

Japan's Nikkei index jumped to a 22-month high as stocks played catch-up with a two-day global rally in the wake of the last-minute U.S. budget deal. The Nikkei average soared 2.8 percent to its highest closing level since March 4, while the broader Topix index added 3.3 percent. Exporters led the gainers, after the yen dropped to its lowest level against the dollar since July 2010. The yen also weakened against the euro on expectations of further monetary easing by the Bank of Japan.

Honda Motor, Fanuc, Nikon, Mazda Motor and Toyota Motor jumped 4-6 percent. Dai-Ichi Life led financial stocks higher with a 7 percent gain, while Nomura Holdings advanced 4 percent and Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group added 3.5 percent. Sharp declined 2.6 percent on a report that the company is mulling options to increase capital through a public offering later this year.

China's Shanghai Composite index opened significantly higher but pared gains to end merely 0.4 percent higher. A survey by HSBC suggested China's service sector activity expanded at a slower pace than the month before in December, with the headline business activity index declining to 51.7 in the month from 52.1 in November.

The composite output index, a gauge of both manufacturing and services activities, stood at 51.8 in December, up from 51.6 in the previous month. Hong Kong's Hang Seng index eased 0.3 percent following a rally in the previous two sessions.

Australian shares lost ground, dragged down by miners following recent sharp gains. Both the benchmark S&P/ASX 200 and the broader All Ordinaries index slipped about 0.4 percent each. BHP Billiton shed 0.6 percent and Rio Tinto lost a percent, while smaller rival Fortescue and gold miner Newcrest tumbled around 4 percent each. Atlas Iron fell 3.2 percent despite commencing production at its third iron ore mine in the Western Australia's Pilbara region.

Oil & gas producer Woodside Petroleum slipped 0.1 percent, while Oil Search shed 0.8 percent and Santos retreated 0.6 percent. Banks ended on a firm note, posting modest gains. Commonwealth edged up marginally, while ANZ, NAB and Westpac rose about 0.2 percent each. Macmahon Holdings rose 1.8 percent after an Australia-based unit of India's Punj Lloyd offered to buy the company's construction business.

Seoul shares drifted lower for the second straight day as investors continued to take profits following a recent sharp rally on enthusiasm over the U.S. fiscal cliff deal. The benchmark Kospi average slid 0.4 percent. Kia Motors and Hyundai Heavy Industries fell about 2 percent each, while tech stocks Samsung Electronics and LG Display fell 1-3 percent.

New Zealand shares fell on profit taking after technical charts signaled overbought levels. The benchmark NZX-50 index edged down 0.2 percent. Heavyweight Telecom paced the decliners, falling 1.4 percent on analyst downgrades, Chorus, the network company spun off from Telecom in 2011, fell over 2 percent and online accounting software maker Xero lost 1.1 percent.

Fletcher Building, the nation's largest construction company, edged up 0.2 percent, utility Contact Energy closed up 0.8 percent and Skellerup Holdings, which manufactures milking equipment and rubber goods, advanced 3.1 percent.

Elsewhere, benchmark indexes in Malaysia, Singapore, India and Taiwan were subdued, while Indonesia's Jakarta Composite index was moving up 0.2 percent.
Commodities
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Crude Dips Ahead Of Official Inventories Data

The price of crude oil was extending losses Friday morning as traders await cues from the official inventories data from the EIA, due out later today.

Light Sweet Crude Oil (WTI) futures for February delivery, shed $1.26 to $91.66 a barrel. Yesterday, oil ended lower after the Federal Open Market Committee felt that the fiscal cliff drama would have an adverse impact on the economy late in 2012.

Thursday after the market hour, the API said US crude oil inventories a massive fell 12.032 million barrels last week, while gasoline stocks added 3.32 million barrels in the weekended December 28.

The price of gold slipped back near a five-month low Friday morning as the US dollar was extending gains versus a basket of currencies ahead of today's jobs data.

Gold for February delivery, the most actively traded contract, dived $44.80 to $1,629.80 an ounce. Yesterday, gold slipped nearly 1 percent mostly on profit taking as the US dollar continued to strengthen. The yellow metal gained nearly 2 percent in the previous two sessions after a last-minute deal helped the U.S. Congress pass a budget bill to avoid a fiscal cliff.

Holdings of SPDR Gold Trust, the world's largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund, moved down to 1,349.92 tons from 1,350.82 tons.

This morning, the U.S. dollar was steady around a three-week high versus the euro and sterling. The buck continued to extend its 2-year high versus the yen and trading higher against the Swiss franc.

In economic news from the euro zone, retail sales in Germany increased more than expected in November, data from the Federal Statistical Office showed. Sales increased 1.2 percent month-on-month on a seasonally and calendar adjusted basis in November. This was better than the expected 0.8 percent growth.

Meanwhile, euro zone's EU harmonized inflation remained unchanged in December, defying economists' forecast for a modest slowdown, preliminary data from statistical office Eurostat showed. The harmonized index of consumer prices (HICP), measured under the EU methodology, increased 2.2 percent annually in December, unchanged from the growth seen in November. In October, the inflation rate was 2.5 percent. Economists had expected inflation to ease to 2.1 percent in December.

Final data from Markit Economics showed that the euro zone downturn eased further at the end of the 2012, as rates of contraction in economic output and new business slowed. The composite output index rose to 47.2 from 46.5 in November. But it stayed marginally below the flash reading of 47.3 and the 50.0 no-change mark for the eleventh successive month.

Traders will look to the jobs data from the U.S. Labor Department, due out at 8.30 a.m ET. Economists expect non-farm payroll growth of 155,000 compared to 146,000 in November, with the private payrolls expected to expand by 157,000. The unemployment rate is expected to edge up 0.1 points to 7.8 percent.

The Institute for Supply Management is also due to release the results of its service sector survey at 10 am ET. The consensus expectations call for a reading of 54.5 in December compared to 54.7 in November.

Simultaneously, the Commerce Department is scheduled to release its factory orders report for November. Economists expect 0.3 percent increase in factory orders compared to 0.8 percent growth in October.

Today during trading hours, the EIA will release its US crude oil inventories report for the weekended December 28. Analysts expect crude oil inventories to dip one million barrels and gasoline stocks to add 2.3 million barrels last week.

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