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Potential strike on Syria worries investors early on
Stocks declined on Wednesday morning on concerns over an imminent Western military intervention in Syria, with investors also choosing to scale back positions ahead of a number of 'risk events' later on in the week. The Senate Foreign Relations Committee
last night gave the green light on a US attack on Syria, saying that
the use of force "reflects the will and concerns of Democrats and
Republicans alike". The backing of the Committee "reminded
investors that the potential for war is still lurking", according to
Financial Trader Shavaz Dhalla from Spreadex. This comes ahead of the crucial vote in Congress next week on President Barack Obama's call for action against the Bashar al-Assad regime which he claims is responsible for the deadly chemical weapons attack against the Syrian people in August.
Dhalla said: "Many now believe that if a strike is approved, this would
likely occur in a much smaller scale and involve a fewer number of
countries than initially expected. Despite this, the possible legal
repercussions from Syria’s allies, which include China and Russia, if
the strike does happen without UN approval is still troubling
investors." Traders will also be cautious today ahead of three central-bank meetings tomorrow from the Bank of Japan, Bank of England and the European Central Bank. These will be followed by the all-important US jobs report
on Friday which will be a large factor in the Federal Reserve's
decision on whether or not to adjust current stimulus measures later
this month. FTSE 100: Airline stocks sink after Ryanair profit warning Airline peers easyJet and IAG were flying lower this morning after a gloomy outlook by Ryanair
on the back of the hot weather in Northern Europe over the summer. The
company scaled back its full-year profit guidance after
worse-than-expected bookings but said that it could even fail to meet
these forecasts if fares and yields continue to weaken over the coming
winter. Hargreaves Lansdown fell despite reporting
record annual figures this morning. Full-year pre-tax profit rose 28% to
£195.2m as the financial services company took on more clients and
increased assets under administration by 38% rise in AuA to £36.4bn.
Weighing on the price this morning could be Morgan Stanley's downgrade
of the 'Diversified Financial' sector to 'neutral'. TUI Travel, Resolution and BHP Billiton
were also heavy fallers this morning after going ex-dividend, meaning
that from today new investors won't be able to get their hands on their
latest dividend payments. Others that went ex-dividend on the blue-chip
index include Admiral, Aggreko, ARM Holdings, IMI, Land Securities, Serco Group and Shire. Chemicals group Croda International also went ex-div today but was trading higher after Exane BNP Paribas upgraded its rating on the stock to 'outperform'. British Land
fell after saying it is set to purchase 50% of 430,000 square-foot
SouthGate retail space in Bath by paying current owner Multi Southgate
£101m. FTSE 250: Phoenix lower after going ex-div Closed life and pension fund consolidator Phoenix
was the worst performer this morning after going ex-dividend. A host of
others were also trading without the rights to their latest payouts,
including 888 Holdings, Betfair, Elementis, esure, Greggs, Hikma
Pharmaceuticals, Jardine Lloyd Thompson, Michael Page International,
Micro Focus International, National Express Group, Polymetal
International, Regus, SEGRO and Xaar. Ashtead Group
rose after the equipment rental company booked a 24% increase in
first-quarter revenue amid strong demand and a tight control on costs.
It now expects a full-year result ahead of previous expectations. Kenmare Resources was higher after Goldman raised its recommendation to 'conviction buy', while Salamander Energy was boosted by a Morgan Stanley upgrade to 'equalweight'.
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FINALS A&J Mucklow Group, Hargreaves Lansdown Q1 Ashtead Group INTERIMS Abbey Protection, Smart Metering Systems, SQS Software Quality Systems AG, Staffline Group INTERIM DIVIDEND PAYMENT DATE Man Group INTERIM EX-DIVIDEND DATE
888 Holdings, Aggreko, Amino Technologies, Amlin, Arbuthnot Banking
Group, ARM Holdings, Avesco Group, Baronsmead VCT 3, Baronsmead VCT 4,
Baronsmead VCT 5, Camellia, Capital & Regional, Carillion, Churchill
China, Cineworld Group, Croda International, Elementis, esure Group,
FBD Holdings, Grafton Group Units, Greggs, Hellermanntyton Group, Hikma
Pharmaceuticals, Holders Technology, IMI, Jardine Lloyd Thompson Group,
John Laing Infrastructure Fund Ltd, JPMorgan American Inv Trust,
Lavendon Group, Macfarlane Group, Maven Income & Growth 4 VCT,
Michael Page International, National Express Group, North Midland
Construction, Novae Group, Paddy Power, Phoenix Group Holdings (DI),
Plus500 Ltd (DI), Polymetal International, Portmeirion Group, Regus,
Resolution Ltd., Robert Walters, SEGRO, Serco Group, Shire Plc, TUI
Travel, Xaar QUARTERLY PAYMENT DATE Unilever QUARTERLY EX-DIVIDEND DATE British Assets Trust, Land Securities Group INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC ANNOUNCEMENTS Federal Reserve’s Beige book released (US) (19:00) Trade balance (US) (13:30) Monthly vehicle sales (US) (22:00) Eurozone final services PMI (EZ) (10:00) Eurozone final Q2 GDP (EZ) (10:00) Eurozone retail sales (EZ) (10:00) SPECIAL EX-DIVIDEND PAYMENT DATE Admiral Group, Goodwin Plc, Miton Income Opportunities Trust AGMS Ashtead Group FINAL EX-DIVIDEND DATE
ACM Shipping Group, Avarae Global Coins, Betfair Group, BHP Billiton,
Downing Distribution VCT 1, Downing Income VCT 3, Downing Income VCT 3 E
Shs, Mattioli Woods, Micro Focus International, Mid Wynd International
Inv Trust, Pinewood Shepperton, Victoria, Volex UK ECONOMIC ANNOUNCEMENTS BRC Shop price index (00:01) Markit Services PMI (09:28)
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Congress backing for Syria strike rattles stocks
FTSE 100: -0.29% DAX: -0.14% CAC 40: -0.34 FTSE MIB: -0.79% IBEX 35: -0.46% Stoxx 600: -0.19
European equities slumped ahead of the release of a report on economic
growth in the Eurozone and as Syria tensions continued to rise.
Gross domestic product for the second quarter in 17-nation euro area is
expected to show a 0.3% rise on the quarter and a 0.7% fall on the
year. A separate report is anticipated to show Eurozone retail sales dropped 0.3% in July after a decline of 0.09% in June.
Also moving markets in early morning trading was news that US President
Obama secured the backing on Tuesday of Republican and Democratic
leaders in the House for a military attack on Syria. Speaker John A. Boehner and House majority leader, Representative Eric Cantor of Virginia said they would support the president’s call to action.
It set the stage for wider approval in Congress when they vote on
September 9th on whether to punish President Bashar al-Assad’s
government which is accused of using chemical weapons against civilians
on August 21st. Russian President Vladimir Putin warned
the US and its allies against taking one-sided action in Syria, saying
any military strike without United Nations approval would be an
“aggression”. Possible legal repercussions from Syria’s allies Russia and China is troubling investors, according to Spreadex Financial Trader, Shavaz Dhalla.
“Thus, investors should look out for any signs of volatility until at
least the September 9th when the US congress reconvenes and the markets
receive more information as to officials’ intentions towards Syria,” Dhalla added. Fed’s Beige Book
The Federal Reserve’s Beige Book will be unveiled ahead of the central
bank’s highly anticipated September 17th to 18th policy meeting.
The book, a report in which each Federal Reserve bank gathers anecdotal
information on current economic conditions in its district, should
provide some insight as to where policymakers feel America’s financial
state stands. The Fed is expected to start reducing its $85bn
per month in bond purchases at its meeting this month and has been
turning to data for indicators of economic improvement. The US
trade balance will also be released later Wednesday and is tipped to
show the deficit came in at $38.6bn in July compared to $34.2bn a month
earlier. In the meantime, Markit's UK Services purchasing
managers' index will come in at 59 for August, down from 60.2 the
previous month, according to forecasts. A reading above 50 signals
expansion. Ryanair lowers annual forecast Ryanair’s
shares plunged after the budget airline said full-year profit would be
at the lower end of its forecast range of €570m to €600m. French bank Credit Agricole declined after saying it had begun the sale of its remaining 7.6% stake in Spain's Bankinter. Vodafone surged after selling its 45% stake in Verizon Wireless to US telecoms group Verizon Communications in one of the biggest deals in corporate history. Telecom Italia
dipped following reports core investors are seeking to sell their
stakes, which could leave the Italy's largest telecom operator open to a
takeover bid. Brent crude slips Brent crude futures fell $0.069 to $115.600 per barrel on the ICE. The euro was up 0.02% to the 1.3172 US dollar.
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Stocks rise as economic data offsets Syria concerns
Dow Jones: 0.16% Nasdaq: 0.63% S&P 500: 0.42% Stocks finished with moderate gains on Tuesday as concerns about an impending US military strike against Syria were offset by better-than-expected economic data.
Reports of two ballistic missiles being fired in the Eastern
Mediterranean, though later confirmed as a missile test by Israeli
forces training with the US Navy, rattled equity markets across the
globe early on. This came ahead of the crucial vote in Congress next week on whether President Barack Obama will be supported in his call for action against the Bashar al-Assad regime which he claims is responsible for the deadly chemical weapons attack against the Syrian people in August.
Congress is reportedly split on whether to intervene in Syria. Should
lawmakers deny Obama’s request for force in Syria it would be the first
time Congress had rejected a president’s appeal for military action. However, Speaker of the House and Ohio Republican John Boehner
showed his support for Obama’s call for action, saying that the US
should “warn others around the world that this type of behaviour is not
going to be tolerated”. Republican Senator John McCain has also said he is in favour of an attack. ISM manufacturing data beats forecasts Data from the US came in ahead of expectations this afternoon with the closely-watched ISM manufacturing index rising from 55.4 to 55.7 in August (forecast; 54). Amna Asaf from Capital Economics
said: “clearly this is the sort of the news that could prompt the Fed
to begin tapering its monthly asset purchases later this month.” The Markit purchasing managers' index
(PMI) for US manufacturing activity however failed to meet forecasts,
falling from 53.9 to 53.1 in August (forecast: 54) though "the short
history of the Markit PMI limits its usefulness for forecasting",
according to analyst Cooper Howes from Barclays. In other news, US construction spending for July increased by 0.6% after a revised no change in June forecast: +0.4%. Economic indicators from the States will be in focus over the next two weeks ahead of the Federal Open Market Committee meeting on September 17-18th with policymakers widely expected to announce that they will begin scaling back stimulus.
The all-important monthly employment report in Friday will be likely be
the main event this week after Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke said back in
May that he was eyeing an improvement in the labour market specifically
before making an adjustment to the quantitative easing programme. The
consensus forecast is for a 180,000 increase in non-farm payrolls in
August, up from the 162,000 gain registered in July. Microsoft slumps after Nokia mobile purchase Microsoft’s shares fell as the US tech giant agreed to buy Nokia’s struggling mobile-phone business for €5.44bn, paying €3.79bn for its devices and €1.65bn for its patents.
Stephen Elop, who ran Microsoft's business software division before
joining Nokia in 2010, will return to the US tech giant as head of its
mobile devices business. Elop is being considered as a potential
candidate to replace Microsoft’s departing Chief Executive Officer,
Steve Ballmer who will leave sometime in the next 12 months. Citigroup advanced following reports the US bank sold more than $6bn in private-equity and hedge-fund assets in the past month. Verizon Communications
also declined after confirming yesterday that it will buy out
Vodafone’s stake in their joint venture Verizon Wireless for $130bn in
cash and shares. Broadcaster CBS rose strongly after reaching a new rights agreement with Time Warner Cable ending a one-month blackout. S&P 500 - Risers Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc. (REGN) $259.15 +6.95% CBS Corp. (CBS) $53.50 +4.70% Biogen Idec Inc. (BIIB) $221.79 +4.12% E * TRADE Financial Corp. (ETFC) $14.54 +3.56% Micron Technology Inc. (MU) $14.01 +3.24% Coca-Cola Enterprises Inc. (CCE) $38.54 +3.05% Boston Scientific Corp. (BSX) $10.90 +3.02% Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc. (FCX) $31.12 +2.98% Juniper Networks Inc. (JNPR) $19.45 +2.91% Mastercard Inc. (MA) $623.45 +2.87% S&P 500 - Fallers Murphy Oil Corp. (MUR) $59.80 -11.30% Monster Beverage Corp (MNST) $54.02 -5.87% Microsoft Corp. (MSFT) $31.88 -4.55% Verizon Communications Inc. (VZ) $46.01 -2.89% Integrys Energy Group Inc. (TEG) $54.59 -2.38% Family Dollar Stores Inc. (FDO) $69.53 -2.33% Pinnacle West Capital Corp. (PNW) $53.12 -2.12% Ensco Plc. (ESV) $54.47 -1.96% Pepco Holdings Inc. (POM) $18.60 -1.80% Adt Corp (ADT) $39.14 -1.73% Dow Jones I.A - Risers United Technologies Corp. (UTX) $102.66 +2.56% JP Morgan Chase & Co. (JPM) $51.13 +1.19% Unitedhealth Group Inc. (UNH) $72.56 +1.14% Boeing Co. (BA) $105.01 +1.05% International Business Machines Corp. (IBM) $183.96 +0.93% Bank of America Corp. (BAC) $14.25 +0.92% Travelers Company Inc. (TRV) $80.57 +0.84% Cisco Systems Inc. (CSCO) $23.48 +0.73% American Express Co. (AXP) $72.43 +0.72% Intel Corp. (INTC) $22.07 +0.40% Dow Jones I.A - Fallers Microsoft Corp. (MSFT) $31.88 -4.55% Verizon Communications Inc. (VZ) $46.01 -2.89% AT&T Inc. (T) $33.32 -1.51% Home Depot Inc. (HD) $73.90 -0.79% Coca-Cola Co. (KO) $37.90 -0.73% Pfizer Inc. (PFE) $28.01 -0.71% Wal-Mart Stores Inc. (WMT) $72.68 -0.41% E.I. du Pont de Nemours and Co. (DD) $56.39 -0.41% General Electric Co. (GE) $23.06 -0.35% 3M Co. (MMM) $113.22 -0.32% Nasdaq 100 - Risers Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc. (REGN) $259.15 +6.95% Biogen Idec Inc. (BIIB) $221.79 +4.12% Activision Blizzard Inc. (ATVI) $16.98 +4.04% Micron Technology Inc. (MU) $14.01 +3.24% Liberty Media Corporation - Class A (LMCA) $140.36 +2.84% Amazon.Com Inc. (AMZN) $288.80 +2.78% Xilinx Inc. (XLNX) $44.62 +2.76% Yahoo! Inc. (YHOO) $27.78 +2.43% Fastenal Co. (FAST) $45.00 +2.30% Alexion Pharmaceuticals Inc. (ALXN) $110.17 +2.24% Nasdaq 100 - Fallers Monster Beverage Corp (MNST) $54.02 -5.87% Microsoft Corp. (MSFT) $31.88 -4.55% Fossil Group Inc (FOSL) $114.18 -1.69% Green Mountain Coffee Roasters Inc. (GMCR) $85.16 -1.33% Vodafone Group Plc ADS (VOD) $32.01 -1.05% Stericycle Inc. (SRCL) $111.56 -0.89% Staples Inc. (SPLS) $13.83 -0.58% Avago Technologies Ltd. (AVGO) $38.35 -0.42% Catamaran Corp (CTRX) $54.70 -0.38% Intuitive Surgical Inc. (ISRG) $385.17 -0.35%
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MPC, Syria, Cuadrilla
Mark Carney’s guidance policy has come under fire from several members of The Times Shadow Monetary Policy Committee,
with one warning of the risks of a fresh housing bubble. Four of the
nine members raised questions about the Bank of England’s pledge to keep
rates at the rock-bottom level of 0.5 per cent as long as unemployment
remains above 7 per cent, that same newspaper says. Leading Democratic and Republican senators have reached a deal on a motion authorising an attack on Syria,
adding momentum to US President Barack Obama’s risky push for
congressional approval for military action. The resolution, agreed by
Bob Menendez, the Democratic chair of the Senate Foreign Relations
Committee, and Bob Corker, the senior Republican on the committee, set a
60-day deadline for military action, with a possible 30-day extension,
the Financial Times writes. About 80,000 gold miners in South Africa
walked out on strike on Tuesday night, raising fears of renewed
violence in the crisis-hit industry and underlining the goverment's
dwindling authority. President Jacob Zuma admitted that he could only
plead with companies and unions to find a peaceful solution and avoid
seriously damaging the economy, already hit by sluggish growth and a
contagion of strikes in other sectors, The Guardian reports. Supergroup,
the high street fashion retailer, faces a battle with investors after
Pensions & Investment Research Consultants Pirc advised members to
reject its remuneration report at the annual meeting on September 10th.
The shareholder group, whose members control assets in excess of
£1.5trn, has warned that the performance conditions of Supergroup’s
long-term incentive plan “are not considered sufficiently challenging,” The Daily Telegraph explains. Sterling raced to a three-and-a-half month high against the euro yesterday as the economic
recovery gathered pace. The pound soared to as high as €1.1838 – a
level not seen since May – after figures showed the construction
industry growing at its fastest pace for six years, The Daily Mail points out. Cuadrilla's
attempts to drill for oil in West Sussex have suffered a fresh setback
after it was forced to re-apply for planning permission, admitting its
current application may not comply with regulations. The current
authorisation expires at the end of September and a fresh application to
remove any potential legal ambiguities does run a certain risk of
adding several months of delays to further work at the site, according
to The Daily Telegraph.
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