Thursday, 13 December 2012

ADVFN Evening Euro Markets Bulletin (December 13th, 2012).



ADVFN III Evening Euro Markets Bulletin
Daily world financial news



London Market Report
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'Fiscal cliff' concerns keep markets under pressure

    Market Movers
    techMARK 2,123.48 -0.40%
    FTSE 100 5,929.61 -0.27%
    FTSE 250 12,211.57 -0.10%
Stocks markets across Europe took a breather on Thursday, following a strong performance over the last month, as investors digested stimulus plans by the Federal Reserve and ongoing developments in the Eurozone.

The Footsie finished the day slightly lower, pulling back after setting a new nine-month high at 5,946 the day on Wednesday (the last time the index closed higher was on March 19th at 5,961).

Market analyst Michael Hewson from CMC Markets said today that a “trifecta of positive factors” managed to underwhelm the market this afternoon:

“Three news items that ordinarily would have given markets a significant boost appear to have done anything but today, despite the Fed acting as expected by announcing a new round of asset purchases to the tune of $45bn, and EU leaders agreeing a framework towards a banking union inside their self-imposed deadline of year end, while Greece finally had its long awaited aid tranche finally approved by EU leaders,” Hewson said.

The Footsie staged a slight rally in afternoon trade following some better-than-expected jobless claims data Stateside.

However, as he often has done in the past few weeks, House Speaker John Boehner dampened market sentiment before the close after attacking the Obama administration, saying that the White House is not serious about cutting spending to avert the ‘fiscal cliff’.

“Unfortunately, the White House is so unserious about cutting spending that it appears willing to slow-walk our economy right up to - and over - the fiscal cliff,” Boehner said in a press conference this afternoon.
FTSE 100: Wood Group falls after mixed update
Energy services giant Wood Group has said that it expects to deliver good growth this year, with overall conditions in energy markets remaining 'favourable'. However, shares were down over 4% in afternoon trade after the company reported mixed conditions in its Engineering and GTS divisions.

Credit Suisse said that it has cut its Wood Group forecasts for 2013 and expects consensus forecasts to come down also, largely on softer profits from its GTS division. The broker maintained its ‘neutral’ rating and 925p target for the stock. Canaccord Genuity also provided some additional downward pressure after reducing its target for the stock today from 920p to 900p, retaining its ‘hold’ recommendation.

AstraZeneca fell after revealing that its experimental drug for rheumatoid arthritis gave a disappointing performance during tests. The drug had been widely expected to perform some kind of wonder treatment.

Burberry was lower on reports that it is planning to review its global media planning and buying account.

A decline in Evraz shares appears to be linked to reports that the company has split its iron ore and coal mining divisions. The shares are also settling following decent gains the previous day.

Meanwhile, Tullow Oil was recovering one day after Credit Suisse downgraded the stock from 'outperform' to 'neutral', saying that it may take some time for investor confidence to return.

Barclays got a boost after Deutsche Bank raised its target from 300p to 360p and maintained its buy recommendation. The rise comes amid reports claiming that the group is planning to cut 2,000 jobs, according to sources close to the group.
FTSE 250: Centamin plunges on mine suspension
Egypt-focused gold mining company Centamin saw shares tumble early on after saying that it has suspended operations at its Sukari mine due to issues with fuel suppliers and delays with gold exports. Canaccord Genuity downgraded the stock to 'hold' this morning and slashed its target from 110p to 40p.

Centamin said that it has received an "illegal" $65m retrospective claim from a local fuel company, which is now refusing to supply more fuel to Sukari until the claim is paid. In addition, the firm also announced that its process of gold exports has been hit by delays due to "an unforeseen and arbitrary request from customs officials" for the prior approval from authorities.

High Street retailer Sports Direct fell despite delivering significant growth across the board in the first with with revenue up 22.5%.

Bus and train group National Express gained after saying it is on target to deliver full-year results in line with company expectations despite challenging conditions.

SuperGroup, the owner of clothing retail brand SuperDry, continued to rise one day after it posted a 16.2% rise in revenue for the first half of 2012 covering the 26 weeks to October 28th, according to its interim results published on Wednesday morning.
AIM/Small Cap Report
FTSE 100 - Risers
Tullow Oil (TLW) 1,216.00p +2.88%
United Utilities Group (UU.) 701.00p +1.67%
Aviva (AV.) 372.80p +1.61%
Shire Plc (SHP) 1,956.00p +1.09%
BT Group (BT.A) 237.40p +1.06%
Rio Tinto (RIO) 3,338.50p +0.83%
Hammerson (HMSO) 485.90p +0.77%
Admiral Group (ADM) 1,153.00p +0.61%
Capita (CPI) 758.50p +0.60%
Standard Chartered (STAN) 1,501.00p +0.60%

FTSE 100 - Fallers
Wood Group (John) (WG.) 733.50p -4.55%
AstraZeneca (AZN) 2,958.50p -2.76%
Burberry Group (BRBY) 1,262.00p -2.62%
Experian (EXPN) 999.00p -2.25%
Amec (AMEC) 1,020.00p -2.21%
Randgold Resources Ltd. (RRS) 6,220.00p -1.97%
Kazakhmys (KAZ) 744.00p -1.78%
Evraz (EVR) 259.10p -1.74%
BG Group (BG.) 1,047.00p -1.69%
Weir Group (WEIR) 1,836.00p -1.56%

FTSE 250 - Risers
Supergroup (SGP) 593.50p +6.55%
Ruspetro (RPO) 88.30p +5.12%
Man Group (EMG) 81.10p +4.51%
National Express Group (NEX) 187.90p +4.27%
Tullett Prebon (TLPR) 241.50p +3.12%
Homeserve (HSV) 236.80p +2.73%
Michael Page International (MPI) 386.90p +2.49%
Savills (SVS) 460.00p +2.36%
Intermediate Capital Group (ICP) 314.20p +2.21%
Dunelm Group (DNLM) 650.50p +2.12%

FTSE 250 - Fallers
Centamin (DI) (CEY) 27.70p -47.44%
Sports Direct International (SPD) 386.20p -5.64%
Dechra Pharmaceuticals (DPH) 601.50p -5.42%
New World Resources A Shares (NWR) 263.60p -4.84%
Imagination Technologies Group (IMG) 408.00p -4.00%
Kenmare Resources (KMR) 30.05p -3.59%
Heritage Oil (HOIL) 177.30p -2.64%
Restaurant Group (RTN) 376.60p -2.54%
Perform Group (PER) 350.00p -2.51%
Petropavlovsk (POG) 332.00p -2.47%
European Market
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European Markets Pulled Back On Fiscal Cliff Concerns

The European markets finished in the red on Thursday, as concerns over the looming fiscal cliff in the United States dominated trade. Comments made by Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke at the conclusion of the FOMC's 2-day meeting yesterday raised concerns regarding the potential damage that the stalemate over the issue is causing.

The U.S. Federal Reserve, at the end of the two-day meeting on Wednesday, said it would replace its "Operation Twist" program, which expires at the end of the year, with the purchase of longer-term Treasury securities at a pace of $45 billion per month. The central bank also said it would continue to purchase additional agency mortgage-backed securities at a pace of $40 billion per month.

In a departure from its earlier pledge to keep interest rates at historically low levels until mid-2015, the Fed will hold off on rate hikes until the unemployment rate falls to 6.5 percent. Policy makers do not see the unemployment rate falling to 6.5 percent until 2015.

Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke warned that Fed support cannot fully offset the downside risks presented by the so-called fiscal cliff. Bernanke expects Congress to reach a deal, but noted that inaction has already resulted in a troubling drop in business confidence.

Finance ministers from the 27 European Union states on Thursday finalized an agreement, giving the European Central Bank more powers to oversee the functioning of banks in the crisis-hit region. The decision came ahead of the two-day EU summit in Brussels starting today.

The ministers plan to make the supervisory system fully operational by March 2014 or 12 months after the entry into force of the legislation, whichever is later, according to statement issued after the meeting.

The Single Supervisory Mechanism (SSM) will be composed of the ECB and national competent authorities. As the chief watchdog, the ECB will be responsible for the overall functioning of the SSM and will have direct oversight of Eurozone banks, but "in a differentiated way and in close cooperation with national supervisory authorities," the ministers said in the statement.

Eurozone finance ministers, collectively known as the Eurogroup, finally approved the release of a second disbursement of bailout funds to Greece on the completion of the government's debt buyback operation.

At its meeting in Brussels on Thursday, Eurogroup authorized the bailout fund, the European Financial Stability Facility (EFSF), to release the next installment for a total amount of EUR 49.1 billion. The disbursement will be made in several tranches.

Greece will receive EUR 34.3 billion in the following days. The remaining amount will be disbursed in the first quarter of 2013.

Ernst & Young on Thursday said the euro area will enter 2013 with a brighter outlook than twelve months ago. The region is painfully progressing to stability, E&Y commented.

According to E&Y Eurozone Forecast, or EEF, the region will shrink 0.2 percent next year, but there will be a modest pickup from 2014 to 2016 of 1.3 percent a year. Similar growth rates are expected for the remainder of the decade.

The Euro Stoxx 50 index of eurozone bluechip stocks declined by 0.27 percent, while the Stoxx Europe 50 index, which includes some major U.K. companies, lost 0.44 percent.

The DAX of Germany fell by 0.43 percent and the CAC 40 of France decreased by 0.10 percent. The FTSE 100 of the U.K. dropped by 0.27 percent and the SMI of Switzerland finished lower by 0.57 percent.

In Frankfurt, RWE declined by 2.68 percent and peer EON lost 0.63 percent. Both stocks received negative broker recommendations. ThyssenKrupp fell by 1.21 percent, after Moody's placed it on review for a downgrade. Commerzbank and Deutsche Bank decreased by 0.35 percent and 2.71 percent, respectively. ProSiebenSat dropped by 2.75 percent, after Commerzbank downgraded its rating on the stock.

Delticom retreated by 6.96 percent after a broker downgrade. Bucking the trend, Hochtief climbed by 2.09 percent, after Berenberg upgraded the stock.

In Paris, GDF Suez fell by 0.71 percent. Nomura downgraded the stock to ''Neutral'' from ''Buy.'' Renault climbed by 1.49 percent. The car maker sold its remaining 6.5 percent stake in Swedish automaker AB Volvo for 12.78 billion Swedish kroner or about $1.92 billion.

Dairy giant Danone is preparing a cost reduction and adaptation plan. It will be deployed over two years and is targeted at adjusting costs to generate savings of some 200 million euros in Europe. The stock increased by 0.75 percent.

In London, BG Group declined by 1.97 percent. The oil and gas explorer appointed Chris Finlayson, currently Executive Director and Managing Director of BG Advance, as chief executive officer of the company, succeeding ailing Frank Chapman.

Tullow Oil gained 2.88 percent, after Goldman Sachs upgraded the stock to "Buy" from "Neutral."

AstraZeneca finished lower by 2.76 percent. The company announced that its oral treatment for rheumatoid arthritis, fostamatinib, failed to meet one of the main objectives in a drug trial.

Energy services company John Wood Group said conditions in energy markets remain favorable and that it expects to deliver good growth for 2012 in line with expectations. In the Canadian oil sands market, the company anticipates some reduction in activity in 2013. The stock fell by 4.55 percent.

Sports Direct International dropped by 5.64 percent. The company reported a higher profit for its first half, but has decided not to pay a dividend in respect of the half-year.

Centamin has received a $65 million claim from the Egyptian General Petroleum Corp. for diesel fuel supplied from December 2009 to January 2012. The company said its mine will be put on care and maintenance until the issues are satisfactorily resolved. The stock sank by 47.44 percent.

Deutsche Bank upgraded HSBC to ''Buy'' from ''Hold.'' The stock finished down by 0.06 percent. Nestle fell by 0.33 percent in Zurich. The stock was upgraded to ''Overweight'' from ''Equalweight'' at Barclays.
US Market Report
Stocks Seeing Modest Weakness Amid Fiscal Cliff Worries

Stocks have moved modestly lower over the course of the trading day on Thursday after initially showing a lack of direction. Lingering concerns about the looming fiscal cliff are weighing on the markets despite a batch of largely upbeat economic data.

The major averages moved roughly sideways in recent trading, stuck modestly below the unchanged line. The Dow is down 24.96 points or 0.2 percent at 13,220.49, the Nasdaq is down 7.85 points or 0.3 percent at 3,005.96 and the S&P 500 is down 3.49 points or 0.2 percent at 1,424.99.

The modest weakness on Wall Street comes as lawmakers in Washington continue to struggle to reach an agreement to avoid the fiscal cliff.

House Speaker John Boehner, R-Ohio, once again accused President Barack Obama of failing to provide a serious offer, claiming that the White House is not offering enough in spending cuts.

Boehner has made similar remarks for several days, while Democrats continue to attack the GOP for being unwilling to accept higher tax rates on wealthy Americans.

The worries about the fiscal cliff have overshadowed some upbeat economic data, including a report from the Labor Department showing that weekly jobless claims pulled back near a four-year low.

The report showed that jobless claims fell to 343,000 in the week ended December 8th, a decrease of 29,000 from the previous week's revised figure of 372,000. Economists had expected jobless claims to come in unchanged compared to the 370,000 originally reported for the previous week.

With the unexpected decrease, jobless claims fell to their lowest level since dropping to a four-year low of 342,000 in the week ended October 6th.

A separate report from the Commerce Department showed weaker than expected retail sales growth in the month of November, although a sharp drop in sales by gas stations offset strength in other sectors.

The report showed that retail sales increased by 0.3 percent in November following a 0.3 percent decrease in October. Economists had been expecting retail sales to increase by about 0.6 percent.

Excluding a 4.0 percent drop in sales by gas stations, retail sales rose by 0.8 percent in November compared to a 0.5 percent drop in October.

Traders also continue to digest yesterday's news that the Federal Reserve plans to replace its "Operation Twist" program, which expires at the end of the year, with the purchase of longer-term Treasury securities at a pace of $45 billion per month.

Sector News

While many of the major sectors continue to show only modest moves, considerable weakness is visible among gold stocks. The NYSE Arca Gold Bugs Index is down by 2.1 percent, nearly offsetting the strong gain posted in the previous session.

The weakness among gold stocks comes amid a notable decrease by the price of the precious metal, with gold for February delivery sliding $17.80 to $1,700.10 an ounce.

Oil service, biotechnology, and natural gas stocks are seeing more moderate weakness, although selling pressure remains subdued.

Meanwhile, airline and networking stocks continue to see some strength on the day, with the NYSE Arca Networking Index and the NYSE Arca Airline Index both up by 1 percent.

Other Markets

In overseas trading, stock markets across the Asia-Pacific region turned in a mixed performance during trading on Thursday. While Japan's Nikkei 225 Index surged up by 1.7 percent, Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index fell by 0.3 percent.

In the bond market, treasuries are seeing modest weakness, extending the downward move seen following yesterday's Fed announcement. Subsequently, the yield on the benchmark ten-year note, which moves opposite of its price, is up by 2.3 basis points at 1.72 percent.
Broker tips:
BG Group, Centamin, HMV

Nomura has reiterated its 'buy' rating and 1,600p target for natural gas giant BG Group, following the appointment of a new Chief Executive Officer (CEO) in Chris Finlayson.

"The timing of the announcement of a new CEO is in line with guidance from BG’s Chairman earlier in the year. It removes uncertainty on an issue that has been at the top of investor agenda’s over the past six months and in particular after last month’s production downgrade," Nomura said.

Investec has reiterated its 'hold' recommendation for Egypt-focused gold miner Centamin, saying that the ongoing bad news surrounding the company offsets the stock's upside potential. This follows Thursday's revelation that the company has been prompted to suspend operations at its Sukari mine.

The broker said: "CEY ended the 3Q12 with a healthy balance sheet that included $125m in cash, amongst liquid assets totalling $182m. It therefore has the capacity to withstand a sustained period of care and maintenance. It appears to be suffering a run of very bad news, which highlights the difficulties of operating in Egypt, where the political environment remains volatile."

Panmure Gordon has maintained its 'hold' rating and eight-pence target for entertainment retailer HMV following the company's first-half results, in which it revealed that it would likely breach its banking covenants next month.

The broker said that it is difficult to ascribe an equity value to the stock, given the "material uncertainties". "The group has a lot of support from its various stakeholders, but its markets are extremely unhelpful."

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