Thursday, 13 December 2012

ADVFN III World Daily Markets Bulletin (December 13th, 2012).



ADVFN III World Daily Markets Bulletin  
Daily world financial news

December 13, 2012

US Market
Stocks Showing A Lack Of Direction In Early Trading

Stocks are showing a lack of direction in early trading on Thursday following the release of a slew of U.S. economic data. The major averages are once again lingering unchanged line after ending the previous session roughly flat.

The major averages are currently mixed, with the Dow posting a slim gain. The Dow is up 3.14 points or less than a tenth of a percent at 13,248.59, while the Nasdaq is down 3.04 points or 0.1 percent at 3,010.77 and the S&P 500 is down 0.64 points or less than a tenth of a percent at 1,427.84.

The choppy trading on Wall Street comes as traders digest the latest batch of economic data as well as yesterday's monetary policy announcement from the Federal Reserve.

While the Commerce Department released a report showing weaker than expected retail sales growth in the month of November, a sharp drop in sales by gas stations offset strength in other sectors.

The report showed that retail sales increased by 0.3 percent in November following a 0.3 percent decrease in October. Economists had been expecting retail sales to increase by about 0.6 percent.

Excluding a 4.0 percent drop in sales by gas stations, retail sales rose by 0.8 percent in November compared to a 0.5 percent drop in October.

A separate report from the Labor Department unexpectedly showed a notable decrease in initial jobless claims in the week ended December 8th, with claims falling to a two-month low.

The report showed that jobless claims fell to 343,000, a decrease of 29,000 from the previous week's revised figure of 372,000. Economists had expected jobless claims to come in unchanged compared to the 370,000 originally reported for the previous week.

With the unexpected decrease, jobless claims fell to their lowest level since dropping to a four-year low of 342,000 in the week ended October 6th.


The Labor Department also said its producer price index fell by 0.8 percent in November following a 0.2 percent drop in October. Economists had been expecting prices to fall by about 0.5 percent.

Excluding a sharp drop in energy prices as well as an increase in food prices, the core producer price index edged up by 0.1 percent in November after dipping by 0.2 percent in October. Core prices had been expected to rise by 0.2 percent.

Rob Carnell, chief international economist at ING, said, "On balance, today's data do not unduly threaten the Fed's assertion that rates will be on hold until mid-2015, but keep watching that labor market data."

Most of the major sectors are showing only modest moves in early trading, although gold stocks have come under considerable selling pressure. The NYSE Arca Gold Bugs Index is down by 2.1 percent, with a drop by the price of gold contributing to the weakness in the sector.

On the other hand, early strength is visible among airline and networking stocks, which are extending recent upward trends.

In overseas trading, stock markets across the Asia-Pacific region turned in a mixed performance during trading on Thursday. While Japan's Nikkei 225 Index surged up by 1.7 percent, Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index fell by 0.3 percent.

Meanwhile, the major European markets have all moved to the downside on the day. The French CAC 40 Index is down by 0.2 percent, the U.K.'s FTSE 100 Index is down by 0.3 percent and the German DAX Index is down by 0.4 percent.

In the bond market, treasuries are seeing moderate weakness, extending the downward move seen following yesterday's Fed announcement. Subsequently, the yield on the benchmark ten-year note, which moves opposite of its price, is up by 2.6 basis points at 1.723 percent.
Canadian Market
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TSX Dips At Open Thursday

Toronto stocks moved down at open Thursday amid selling in commodities, with the S&P/TSX Composite Index shedding 68.53 points or 0.56 percent to 12,284.56.

The Diversified Materials Index was down over 1 percent, with First Quantum Minerals diving nearly 2 percent. Inmet Mining and Teck Resources slipped about 0.50 percent each.

The Global Gold Index lost over 2 percent, with Kirkland Lake Gold diving about 30 percent. Centamin Plc plunged around 45 percent after the precious and base metals miner said it is suspending operations at its principal asset Sukari Gold Mine mainly following issues with Egyptian General Petroleum Corp. Agnico-Eagle Mines, Allied Nevada Gold and Goldcorp. lost around 2 percent each.

In the oil patch, Cenovus Energy and Nexen Inc. slipped nearly 1 percent each. Meanwhile, oil and gas exploration and development company Angle Energy surged 10 percent after it announced that it would divest certain of its non-core natural gas-weighted assets in the Edson area of Alberta for $74 million.

The price of crude oil moved back near a three-week low Thursday morning amid a generally steady U.S. dollar. Crude for January shed $0.53 to $86.24 a barrel.

In corporate news from Canada, base-metals miner Primero Mining said it would acquire Cerro Resources NL for a total transaction value of approximately $119 million. Cerro shareholder will receive 0.023 of a Primero common share for each share held.

Software solutions provider Enghouse Systems reported lower fourth-quarter net income of C$8.35 million or C$0.32 per share compared to C$13.35 million or C$0.52 per share last year. Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was C$10.2 million or C$0.39 per share compared to C$9.6 million or C$0.37 per share last year. Analysts expected the company to report profit per share of C$0.17 for the quarter.

Shares of Centamin Plc plunged around 40 percent in the morning trading on London Stock Exchange after the precious and base metals miner said it is suspending operations at its principal asset Sukari Gold Mine mainly following issues with Egyptian General Petroleum Corp.

Major household appliances and accessories company Coast Wholesale Appliances announced that it will not be declaring a cash dividend for the month of December 2012.

Pharmaceutical company Cangene Corp. swung to profit in first quarter, reporting profit of $4.5 million or $0.07 per share compared to a loss of $4.4 million or $0.07 per share in the same year-ago quarter.

In economic news from Canada, the New Housing Price Index rose 0.2 percent in October, following similar increases throughout the year.
European Market
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European Markets Fall On Fiscal Cliff Worries

The European markets are trading lower on Thursday, as fiscal cliff worries remained in the forefront, even after the U.S. Federal Reserve announced new stimulus measures and a banking union agreement was reached by the European finance ministers.

Finance ministers from the 27 European Union states on Thursday finalized an agreement, giving the European Central Bank more powers to oversee the functioning of banks in the crisis-hit region. The decision came ahead of the two-day EU summit in Brussels starting today.

The ministers plan to make the supervisory system fully operational by March 2014 or 12 months after the entry into force of the legislation, whichever is later, a statement issued after the meeting said.

The U.S. Federal Reserve, at the end of the two-day meeting on Wednesday, said it would replace its "Operation Twist" program, which expires at the end of the year, with the purchase of longer-term Treasury securities at a pace of $45 billion per month. The central bank also said it would continue to purchase additional agency mortgage-backed securities at a pace of $40 billion per month.

In a departure from its earlier pledge to keep interest rates at historically low levels until mid-2015, the Fed will hold off on rate hikes until the unemployment rate falls to 6.5 percent. Policy makers do not see the unemployment rate falling to 6.5 percent until 2015.

However, Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke warned that Fed support cannot fully offset the downside risks presented by the so-called fiscal cliff. Bernanke expects Congress to reach a deal, but noted that inaction has already resulted in a troubling drop in business confidence.

The Euro Stoxx 50 index of eurozone bluechip stocks is losing 0.04 percent, while the Stoxx Europe 50 index, which includes some major U.K. companies, is falling 0.09 percent.

The German DAX is losing 0.4 percent. The UK's FTSE 100 and Switzerland's SMI are losing 0.2 percent each. The French CAC 40 is marginally down.

In Frankfurt, RWE is declining 2.9 percent and peer EON is losing 0.7 percent. Both stocks received negative broker recommendations. Steel maker ThyssenKrupp is dropping 2.8 percent and sports goods giant adidas is falling 1.8 percent.

Commerzbank and Deutsche Bank are declining 1.6 percent and 1.4 percent, respectively. ProSiebenSat is declining 3.1 percent. Commerzbank cut its rating on the stock. Delticom is retreating 4 percent after a broker downgrade. Bucking the trend, Hochtief is advancing 1.2 percent after Berenberg upgraded the stock.

In Paris, GDF Suez is losing 1.6 percent. Nomura cut the stock to ''Neutral'' from ''Buy.'' Retailer Carrefour and technology firm Cap Gemini are losing 1.5 percent each.

Renault is gaining 1.8 percent. The car maker sold its remaining 6.5 percent stake in Swedish automaker AB Volvo for 12.78 billion Swedish kroner or about $1.92 billion. Volvo is losing 3.4 percent in Stockholm.

Dairy giant Danone is preparing a cost reduction and adaptation plan. It will be deployed over two years and is targeted at adjusting costs to generate savings of some 200 million euros in Europe. The stock is advancing 1.4 percent.

In London, Oil and gas explorer BG Group appointed Chris Finlayson, currently Executive Director and Managing Director of BG Advance, as chief executive officer of the company, succeeding ailing Frank Chapman. The stock is down 1.1 percent.

Energy services company John Wood Group said conditions in energy markets remain favorable and that it expects to deliver good growth for 2012 in line with expectations. In the Canadian oil sands market, the company anticipates some reduction in activity in 2013. The stock is down 2.8 percent.

Sports Direct International is declining 5.4 percent. The company reported a higher profit for its first half, but has decided not to pay a dividend in respect of the half-year.

Centamin has received a $65 million claim from the Egyptian General Petroleum Corp. for diesel fuel supplied from December 2009 to January 2012. The company said its mine will be put on care and maintenance until the issues are satisfactorily resolved. The stock is plunging 37 percent.

Deutsche Bank raised HSBC to ''Buy'' from ''Hold.'' The stock is up modestly. Heineken is losing around 1 percent in Amsterdam. Barclays reduced its rating on the stock. Nestle was raised to ''Overweight'' from ''Equalweight'' at Barclays. The stock is rising 0.3 percent in Zurich.
Asia Market
Asian Stocks Mixed Despite Fed Boost

Asian stocks ended mixed on Thursday, paring early gains despite the Fed's announcement of a new bond-buying program and the central bank's pledge to keep pumping money into the economy until the job market improved substantially. Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke's comments that the central bank lacks tools to cushion the impact from the looming fiscal cliff added to worries over the European economic outlook, tempering gains.

The Fed more than met investor expectations for a ramp up in its asset purchase program. In a somewhat surprising move, the Fed set numerical targets regarding future decisions, indicating that interest rates will remain exceptionally low as long as the unemployment rate remains above 6.5 percent and inflation is projected to be below 2.5 percent.

Japanese shares rallied to an eight-month high, as the yen's slide following the announcement of the Federal Reserve's new bond buying program as well as expectations that the Bank of Japan will pursue aggressive monetary easing after Sunday's elections boosted the outlook for exporters' earnings. The Nikkei average jumped 1.7 percent to 9,743, its highest level since April 5, while the broader Topix index added a percent.

Canon, Kyocera, Honda Motor, Fanuc, Nikon and TDK jumped 2-6 percent. Financials such as Dai-ichi Life Insurance, Daiwa Securities and Nomura Holdings also climbed 2-4 percent, drawing support from a general improvement in risk appetite. Tokyo Electron added 2.4 percent on a Nikkei report that it will begin producing equipment for the manufacture of large LCD panels in China. Sharp jumped 6.4 percent on news that Apple is working with component suppliers in Asia and testing out several designs for television sets.

China's Shanghai Composite index lost a percent mainly affected by domestic factors such as tight liquidity conditions ahead of the upcoming central economic work conference on Saturday and Sunday, jointly organized by the Central Committee of the Communist Party and the State Council, where policymakers will lay out economic policy goals for the next year. Hong Kong's Hang Seng index slipped 0.3 percent.

Australian shares swung between gains and losses before closing on a flat note. Lingering concerns about the U.S. fiscal cliff kept investor mood cautious after Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid, D-Nev., warned that the U.S. will go over the cliff unless Republicans agree to raise tax rates on wealthy Americans. The Australian dollar held close to a multi-month high versus the greenback despite RBA governor Glenn Stevens' comments cautioning over the "spill over" effects from central banks policies. Miners ended mixed, with BHP Billiton rising 0.7 percent and Rio Tinto adding 0.9 percent, while smaller rival Fortescue Metals Group retreated 0.7 percent on profit taking following recent gains. Among the major banks, ANZ edged down marginally and NAB eased 0.2 percent, but Commonwealth rose 0.1 percent and Westpac advanced 0.3 percent. APN News & Media soared 10.5 percent and Fairfax Media shares jumped 11.3 percent.

Seoul shares rose to a three-month high after the Bank of Korea held interest rates steady at 2.75 percent, resisting the pressure from the market participants for additional stimulus measures. The forecasts were split heading into the decision, with several analysts expecting a reduction of 25 basis points, while others expected the bank to hold rates steady ahead of the forthcoming national elections. The benchmark Kospi average jumped 1.4 percent. Market heavyweight Samsung Electronics soared 2.9 percent to close at a record high.

New Zealand shares extended losses as investors continued to take profits in heavyweight stocks. Telecom, the nation's biggest phone company, fell 1.6 percent to a nine-month low, Australian food ingredient maker Goodman Fielder slumped 4.7 percent, national carrier Air New Zealand lost 2.9 percent, New Zealand Refining, the nation's only refiner, declined 2.3 percent and utility Contact Energy edged down 0.2 percent, while the benchmark NZX-50 index shed half a percent.

Infrastructure firm Infratil tumbled 3.8 percent after its manager HRL Morrison & Co sold 10 million shares in the company to institutional and high net worth investors. Gold miner OceanaGold led the gainers on the exchange, climbing over 4 percent, while Xero and Diligent Board Member Services rose about 2 percent each.

Elsewhere, the markets in India and Indonesia were down about half a percent each, while Malaysia's KLSE Composite rose 0.2 percent, Singapore's Straits Times index was moving up half a percent and the Taiwan Weighted average advanced 0.9 percent.

Commodities
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Crude Lingers Near 3-week Low

The price of crude oil moved back near a three-week low Thursday morning amid a generally steady U.S. dollar. Light Sweet Crude Oil (WTI) futures for January delivery, shed $0.54 to $86.23 a barrel. Yesterday, oil ended higher after the Fed announced that it will replace its "Operation Twist" program, which expires at the end of the year, with the purchase of longer-term Treasury securities at a pace of $45 billion per month.

Wednesday during trading hours, the EIA said that U.S. crude oil inventories moved up 0.80 million barrels and gasoline stocks jumped 5.00 million barrels in the weekended December 07. Analysts expected crude oil inventories to dip by 2.50 million barrels last week.

The price of gold was moving lower Thursday morning on profit taking after the U.S. Federal Reserve announced additional bond purchase program.

Gold for February delivery, the most actively traded contract, shed $23.70 to $1,694.20 an ounce. Yesterday, gold settled higher after the Fed announced that it will replace its "Operation Twist" program, which expires at the end of the year, with the purchase of longer-term Treasury securities at a pace of $45 billion per month.

Holdings of SPDR Gold Trust, the world's largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund, were unchanged at 1,351.42 tons.

This morning, the U.S. dollar was trading near its one-week low versus the euro and a 5-week low against sterling. The buck was hovering near its 9-month high versus the yen and flat against the Swiss franc.

In economic news from the euro zone, the Swiss National Bank decided to leave its minimum exchange rate of CHF 1.20 per euro unchanged as widely expected by economists. The target range for the three-month Libor was maintained at 0.0-0.25 percent.

Traders will look to the report on producer price index for November from the Labor Department, due out at 8:30 am ET. Economists expect the headline index for November to have declined by 0.5 percent, while core producer prices may have risen by 0.2 percent.

Simultaneously, the Commerce Department will release its retail sales report. For November, economists estimate a 0.6 percent increase each in retail sales. Excluding autos, sales are expected to have remained unchanged.

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